SuperligaMatchday 1
Aarhus 1-1 Brondby: prediction, tips and result
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- Stadium:
- Vejlby Stadion, Aarhus
- Referee:
- Morten Krogh
Our tips
Main tip
Cards: Over 3.5Won55%
our numbers: 4.0 cards against a league average of 3.4
For the brave
Cards: Over 4.5Won37%
our numbers: 4.0 cards against a league average of 3.4
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS61%57%O2.558%54%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.2both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Brondby0:2AarhusW
- Aarhus0:0BrondbyD
- Brondby3:3AarhusD
- Aarhus1:0BrondbyW
- Aarhus2:3BrondbyL
Aarhus's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.7league 9.8over 9.5: 50%Expected corners: 9.7 in this match, 9.8 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 16
Cardsleague cards4.0league 3.4over 3.5: 55%Expected cards: 4.0 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.In this league 45% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 12%.won · ended 6
RefereeM. Krogh+0.5 cards vs average17 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.7 : 1.3total 3.0Attack/defence1.6 : 1.2total 2.9
Aarhus : BrondbyMost likely scores
Market1-112%2-19%1-07%2-07%1-27%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%2-19%1-09%2-08%1-27%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%2-12-19%2-19%1-01-07%1-09%2-02-07%2-08%1-21-27%1-27%0-10-1—0-17%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 81%78% | 78% |
| 12 – no draw | 75%75% | 75% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 73%72% | 72% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 64%68% | 68% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 61%57% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58%54% | 54% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 54%53% | 53% |
| 1 – Aarhus win | 47%47% · Elo 47% | 47%· Elo 47% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 42%46% | 46% |
| Both teams to score: no | 39%43% | 43% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36%32% | 32% |
| 2 – Brondby win | 28%28% · Elo 26% | 28%· Elo 26% |
| X – draw | 26%25% · Elo 28% | 25%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 19%22% | 22% |
Attack vs defence
Aarhus attack vs Brondby defenceattack1568defence1564+4 pts to the attack
Brondby attack vs Aarhus defenceattack1510defence1575−65 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Brondby matches average 5.9 cards (league 3.4) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Aarhus concede a lot late on: 9 of 19 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
League form
Aarhus
No matches played this season yet.
Brondby
No matches played this season yet.
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Brondby | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 17:17 | 16 |
| 10 | Aarhus | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 14:17 | 8 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Aarhus vs Brondby?
Aarhus 1-1 Brondby (half time 0-0).
Did the Aarhus vs Brondby tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Cards: Over 3.5. The tip won.