ChampionshipMatchday 1
Charlton 2-1 Derby: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- The Valley, London
- Referee:
- Ben Speedie
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS49%51%O2.543%45%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.2both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Charlton1:2DerbyL
- Derby1:1CharltonD
- Derby1:2CharltonW
- Charlton0:1DerbyL
- Derby2:0CharltonL
Charlton's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.5league 10.4under 10.5: 53%Expected corners: 10.5 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 9
Cardsleague cards3.6league 3.8under 3.5: 53%Expected cards: 3.6 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 47% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.won · ended 3
RefereeB. Speedie−0.7 cards vs average31 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.2 : 1.2total 2.4Attack/defence1.3 : 1.2total 2.5
Charlton : DerbyMost likely scores
Market1-114%1-010%0-010%0-110%1-28%2-1—Attack/defence1-113%1-010%0-09%0-110%1-28%2-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%1-01-010%1-010%0-00-010%0-09%0-10-110%0-110%1-21-28%1-28%2-12-1—2-18%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 78%76% | 76% |
| 12 – no draw | 70%72% | 72% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70%71% | 71% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 65%64% | 64% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 65%64% | 64% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 57%55% | 55% |
| Both teams to score: no | 51%49% | 49% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 49%51% | 51% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43%45% | 45% |
| 1 – Charlton win | 35%37% · Elo 31% | 37%· Elo 31% |
| 2 – Derby win | 35%36% · Elo 42% | 36%· Elo 42% |
| X – draw | 30%28% · Elo 28% | 28%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 30%29% | 29% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22%24% | 24% |
Attack vs defence
Charlton attack vs Derby defenceattack1434defence1504−70 pts to the attack
Derby attack vs Charlton defenceattack1516defence1473+43 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
League form
Charlton
No matches played this season yet.
Derby
No matches played this season yet.
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Charlton | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10:13 | 14 |
| 23 | Derby | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8:15 | 6 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Charlton vs Derby?
Charlton 2-1 Derby (half time 0-1).