ChampionshipMatchday 1

Middlesbrough 2-1 Lincoln: prediction, tips and result

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2-1Full time(half time 0-1)
Stadium:
Riverside, Middlesbrough
Referee:
Robert Madley

The match in numbers

1X2EloMiddlesbrough167165%54%Draw21%25%Lincoln152515%21%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS50%53%O2.554%51%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.0both scored
H2Hhome side's goals firstnever met
Cornersleague cornerstoo few matches
Cardsleague cardstoo few matches
RefereeR. Madley+0.3 cards vs average18 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.0 : 0.8total 2.8Attack/defence1.7 : 1.0total 2.7
Middlesbrough : Lincoln
Most likely scores
Market2-012%1-110%1-011%2-110%3-08%0-0—0-1—Attack/defence2-09%1-112%1-011%2-110%3-0—0-07%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence2-02-012%2-09%1-11-110%1-112%1-01-011%1-011%2-12-110%2-110%3-03-08%3-0—0-00-0—0-07%0-10-1—0-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat86%77%77%
12 – no draw80%75%75%
Over 1.5 goals79%75%75%
Under 3.5 goals68%71%71%
1 – Middlesbrough win65%52% · Elo 54%52%· Elo 54%
Over 2.5 goals54%51%51%
Both teams to score: yes50%53%53%
Both teams to score: no50%47%47%
Under 2.5 goals46%49%49%
X2 – away team avoid defeat36%48%48%
Over 3.5 goals32%29%29%
X – draw21%25% · Elo 25%25%· Elo 25%
Under 1.5 goals21%25%25%
2 – Lincoln win15%23% · Elo 21%23%· Elo 21%
Attack vs defence
Middlesbrough attack vs Lincoln defenceattack1580defence1492+88 pts to the attack
Lincoln attack vs Middlesbrough defenceattack1506defence1560−54 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Middlesbrough: only 11 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 18 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Lincoln: newly promoted

League form

Middlesbrough

No matches played this season yet.

Lincoln

No matches played this season yet.

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Middlesbrough1063120:1421
17Lincoln93247:1111
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Middlesbrough vs Lincoln?

Middlesbrough 2-1 Lincoln (half time 0-1).