ChampionshipMatchday 2

Millwall 3-0 Norwich: prediction, tips and result

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3-0Full time(half time 1-0)
Stadium:
The Den, London
Referee:
Sam Allison

The match in numbers

1X2EloMillwall162238%46%Draw28%27%Norwich159734%27%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS55%50%O2.550%45%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.1not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Millwall1:2NorwichL
  2. Norwich1:2MillwallW
  3. Millwall3:1NorwichW
  4. Norwich2:1MillwallL
  5. Millwall1:0NorwichW
Millwall's record: 3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.8league 10.5over 10.5: 51%Expected corners: 10.8 in this match, 10.5 on average in the league.In this league 48% of matches end over 10.5 corners.won · ended 11
Cardsleague cards3.9league 3.8over 3.5: 53%Expected cards: 3.9 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 9%.won · ended 4
RefereeS. Allison0.0 cards vs average24 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 1.3total 2.7Attack/defence1.4 : 1.1total 2.5
Millwall : Norwich
Most likely scores
Market1-113%1-09%2-19%0-0—0-18%2-0—1-28%Attack/defence1-113%1-011%2-19%0-09%0-19%2-08%1-2—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%1-01-09%1-011%2-12-19%2-19%0-00-0—0-09%0-10-18%0-19%2-02-0—2-08%1-21-28%1-2—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals75%71%71%
12 – no draw72%73%73%
Under 3.5 goals72%76%76%
1X – home team avoid defeat66%72%72%
X2 – away team avoid defeat62%56%56%
Both teams to score: yes55%50%50%
Over 2.5 goals50%45%45%
Under 2.5 goals50%55%55%
Both teams to score: no45%50%50%
1 – Millwall win38%44% · Elo 46%44%· Elo 46%
2 – Norwich win34%28% · Elo 27%28%· Elo 27%
X – draw28%27% · Elo 27%27%· Elo 27%
Over 3.5 goals28%24%24%
Under 1.5 goals25%29%29%
Attack vs defence
Millwall attack vs Norwich defenceattack1508defence1518−10 pts to the attack
Norwich attack vs Millwall defenceattack1530defence1566−36 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Norwich matches average 5.5 cards (league 3.8) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Millwall matches average 13.0 corners (league 10.5) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Millwall: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Norwich: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
10Millwall1042416:1614
19Norwich930617:199
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Millwall vs Norwich?

Millwall 3-0 Norwich (half time 1-0).