ChampionshipMatchday 1

Sheffield United 0-0 Birmingham: prediction, tips and result

Saturday 15 August · 17:30

Sheffield United

0-0Full time(half time 0-0)

Birmingham

Stadium:: Bramall Lane, Sheffield
Referee:: Gavin Ward

The match in numbers

1X2EloSheffield United159643%44%Draw28%27%Birmingham159929%28%favourite did not win

Goalsattack/defenceBTTS52%53%O2.546%49%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.1not both scored

H2Hlast 5 meetings

14/03/202614/03/26Birmingham1:1Sheffield UnitedD
20/12/202520/12/25Sheffield United3:0BirminghamW
08/05/202308/05/23Birmingham1:2Sheffield UnitedW
01/10/202201/10/22Sheffield United1:1BirminghamD
04/02/202204/02/22Birmingham1:2Sheffield UnitedW

Sheffield United's record: 3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses2.6 goals per match

Cornersleague corners10.4league 10.4under 10.5: 53%Expected corners: 10.4 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 10

Cardsleague cards3.7league 3.8under 3.5: 50%Expected cards: 3.7 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 47% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 10%.won · ended 0

RefereeG. Ward−0.7 cards vs average26 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams

Expected goals

Market1.4 : 1.1total 2.5Attack/defence1.5 : 1.1total 2.6

Sheffield United : Birmingham

Most likely scores

Market1-114%1-010%2-19%0-09%2-08%0-1—Attack/defence1-113%1-011%2-19%0-08%2-08%0-18%

MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%1-01-010%1-011%2-12-19%2-19%0-00-09%0-08%2-02-08%2-08%0-10-1—0-18%

Outcome	Market	Attack/defence
Under 3.5 goals	75%73%	73%
Over 1.5 goals	73%74%	74%
12 – no draw	72%74%	74%
1X – home team avoid defeat	71%72%	72%
X2 – away team avoid defeat	57%54%	54%
Under 2.5 goals	54%51%	51%
Both teams to score: yes	52%53%	53%
Both teams to score: no	48%47%	47%
Over 2.5 goals	46%49%	49%
1 – Sheffield United win	43%46% · Elo 44%	46%· Elo 44%
2 – Birmingham win	29%28% · Elo 28%	28%· Elo 28%
X – draw	28%26% · Elo 27%	26%· Elo 27%
Under 1.5 goals	27%26%	26%
Over 3.5 goals	25%27%	27%

Attack vs defence

Sheffield United attack vs Birmingham defenceattack1562defence1534+28 pts to the attack

Birmingham attack vs Sheffield United defenceattack1489defence1499−10 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

Sheffield United matches average 5.2 cards (league 3.8) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.

League form