ChampionshipMatchday 1
Stoke 1-2 Swansea: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- bet365 Stadium, Stoke
- Referee:
- Oliver Langford
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS52%50%O2.546%45%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.2both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Swansea2:0StokeL
- Stoke2:1SwanseaW
- Stoke3:1SwanseaW
- Swansea0:0StokeD
- Swansea3:0StokeL
Stoke's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.7league 10.4over 10.5: 50%Expected corners: 10.7 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 47% of matches end over 10.5 corners.lost · ended 9
Cardsleague cards3.6league 3.8under 3.5: 51%Expected cards: 3.6 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 47% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.lost · ended 4
RefereeO. Langford−0.4 cards vs average25 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 1.2total 2.6Attack/defence1.3 : 1.2total 2.5
Stoke : SwanseaMost likely scores
Market1-114%1-010%0-18%0-09%2-19%1-2—Attack/defence1-113%1-011%0-110%0-09%2-18%1-28%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%1-01-010%1-011%0-10-18%0-110%0-00-09%0-09%2-12-19%2-18%1-21-2—1-28%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 75%77% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73%70% | 70% |
| 12 – no draw | 71%72% | 72% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 69%67% | 67% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 60%61% | 61% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 54%55% | 55% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52%50% | 50% |
| Both teams to score: no | 48%50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46%45% | 45% |
| 1 – Stoke win | 40%39% · Elo 33% | 39%· Elo 33% |
| 2 – Swansea win | 31%33% · Elo 40% | 33%· Elo 40% |
| X – draw | 29%28% · Elo 28% | 28%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 27%30% | 30% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25%23% | 23% |
Attack vs defence
Stoke attack vs Swansea defenceattack1443defence1499−56 pts to the attack
Swansea attack vs Stoke defenceattack1491defence1477+14 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Stoke concede 2.0 goals per game
- Stoke: 4 defeats in a row
- Stoke: only 5 pts in 9 matches, bookmakers expected about 11 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
League form
Stoke
No matches played this season yet.
Swansea
No matches played this season yet.
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 16:7 | 23 |
| 6 | Stoke | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 17:16 | 16 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Stoke vs Swansea?
Stoke 1-2 Swansea (half time 1-1).