ChampionshipMatchday 1
Watford 2-1 Southampton: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Vicarage Road, Watford
- Referee:
- Matt Donohue
Our tips
Main tip
Cards: Over 3.5Won58%
referee Matt Donohue averages 4.2 cards a match, league average 3.8
For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost12%
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS58%55%O2.556%50%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.4both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Southampton1:0WatfordL
- Watford2:2SouthamptonD
- Southampton3:2WatfordL
- Watford1:1SouthamptonD
- Southampton1:2WatfordW
Watford's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.7league 10.4under 10.5: 50%Expected corners: 10.7 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 12
Cardsleague cards4.1league 3.8over 3.5: 58%Expected cards: 4.1 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 10%.won · ended 9
RefereeM. Donohue+0.4 cards vs average29 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.2 : 1.7total 2.9Attack/defence1.3 : 1.4total 2.7
Watford : SouthamptonMost likely scores
Market1-112%1-210%0-19%1-0—0-28%2-17%0-0—Attack/defence1-113%1-29%0-19%1-09%0-2—2-18%0-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-113%1-21-210%1-29%0-10-19%0-19%1-01-0—1-09%0-20-28%0-2—2-12-17%2-18%0-00-0—0-07%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 79%75% | 75% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 75%66% | 66% |
| 12 – no draw | 74%73% | 73% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 67%72% | 72% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 58%55% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56%50% | 50% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 51%60% | 60% |
| 2 – Southampton win | 49%40% · Elo 55% | 40%· Elo 55% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 44%50% | 50% |
| Both teams to score: no | 42%45% | 45% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33%28% | 28% |
| X – draw | 26%27% · Elo 25% | 27%· Elo 25% |
| 1 – Watford win | 25%34% · Elo 21% | 34%· Elo 21% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 21%25% | 25% |
Attack vs defence
Watford attack vs Southampton defenceattack1470defence1531−61 pts to the attack
Southampton attack vs Watford defenceattack1585defence1471+114 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Watford concede 2.3 goals per game
- Watford matches average 5.1 cards (league 3.8) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Watford score only 0.7 goals per game
- Southampton: unbeaten in 21 matches
- Watford: 5 defeats in a row
- Watford: only 5 pts in 9 matches, bookmakers expected about 12 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
League form
Watford
No matches played this season yet.
Southampton
No matches played this season yet.
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Southampton | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 20:10 | 13 |
| 22 | Watford | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8:19 | 8 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Watford vs Southampton?
Watford 2-1 Southampton (half time 2-0).
Did the Watford vs Southampton tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Cards: Over 3.5. The tip won.