League OneMatchday 1

Burton 1-1 Stevenage: prediction, tips and result

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1-1Full time(half time 0-0)
Stadium:
Pirelli Stadium, Burton upon Trent

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Under 2.5Won60%

our numbers: 2.3 goals in total in this match, league average 2.7

For the brave
Total Goals: Under 1.5Lost33%

under 1.5 goals in 3 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloBurton130133%37%Draw30%28%Stevenage136137%35%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS47%42%O2.540%34%|exp. goals 1.1 : 1.0both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Burton0:1StevenageL
  2. Stevenage2:2BurtonD
  3. Stevenage0:1BurtonW
  4. Burton0:0StevenageD
  5. Stevenage1:2BurtonW
Burton's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss1.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.7league 10.1under 10.5: 62%Expected corners: 9.7 in this match, 10.1 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 2
Cardsleague cards3.8league 3.8over 3.5: 52%Expected cards: 3.8 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 9%.lost · ended 0
Refereeawaiting appointment

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.1 : 1.2total 2.3Attack/defence1.1 : 1.0total 2.1
Burton : Stevenage
Most likely scores
Market1-114%1-010%0-011%0-111%1-28%2-0—2-1—Attack/defence1-114%1-014%0-013%0-112%1-2—2-08%2-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-114%1-01-010%1-014%0-00-011%0-013%0-10-111%0-112%1-21-28%1-2—2-02-0—2-08%2-12-1—2-18%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals80%84%84%
12 – no draw70%69%69%
Over 1.5 goals67%61%61%
X2 – away team avoid defeat67%62%62%
1X – home team avoid defeat63%69%69%
Our tip: Under 2.5 goals60%66%66%
Both teams to score: no53%58%58%
Both teams to score: yes47%42%42%
Over 2.5 goals40%34%34%
2 – Stevenage win37%31% · Elo 35%31%· Elo 35%
1 – Burton win33%38% · Elo 37%38%· Elo 37%
Under 1.5 goals33%39%39%
X – draw30%31% · Elo 28%31%· Elo 28%
Over 3.5 goals20%16%16%
Attack vs defence
Burton attack vs Stevenage defenceattack1428defence1585−157 pts to the attack
Stevenage attack vs Burton defenceattack1387defence1506−119 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Stevenage: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals

League form

Burton

No matches played this season yet.

Stevenage

No matches played this season yet.

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
9Stevenage833212:812
10Burton1033414:1612
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Burton vs Stevenage?

Burton 1-1 Stevenage (half time 0-0).

Did the Burton vs Stevenage tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Under 2.5. The tip won.