League OneMatchday 1

Reading 3-4 Luton: prediction, tips and result

·

3-4Full time(half time 3-1)
Stadium:
Select Car Leasing Stadium, Reading

The match in numbers

1X2EloReading140031%31%Draw27%27%Luton145041%41%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS56%57%O2.551%54%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Luton2:3ReadingW
  2. Reading3:2LutonW
  3. Reading1:1LutonD
  4. Luton0:0ReadingD
  5. Luton1:0ReadingL
Reading's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.0league 10.1under 10.5: 59%Expected corners: 10.0 in this match, 10.1 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 7
Cardsleague cards3.8league 3.8over 3.5: 52%Expected cards: 3.8 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 9%.lost · ended 3
Refereeawaiting appointment

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 1.5total 2.8Attack/defence1.5 : 1.3total 2.8
Reading : Luton
Most likely scores
Market1-113%1-29%0-19%2-18%1-0—0-07%2-0—Attack/defence1-112%1-28%0-17%2-19%1-09%0-0—2-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-112%1-21-29%1-28%0-10-19%0-17%2-12-18%2-19%1-01-0—1-09%0-00-07%0-0—2-02-0—2-07%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals77%77%77%
12 – no draw72%74%74%
Under 3.5 goals71%69%69%
X2 – away team avoid defeat68%58%58%
1X – home team avoid defeat58%67%67%
Both teams to score: yes56%57%57%
Over 2.5 goals51%54%54%
Under 2.5 goals49%46%46%
Both teams to score: no44%43%43%
2 – Luton win41%33% · Elo 41%33%· Elo 41%
1 – Reading win31%42% · Elo 31%42%· Elo 31%
Over 3.5 goals29%31%31%
X – draw27%26% · Elo 27%26%· Elo 27%
Under 1.5 goals23%23%23%
Attack vs defence
Reading attack vs Luton defenceattack1536defence1522+14 pts to the attack
Luton attack vs Reading defenceattack1549defence1498+51 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Luton: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Reading matches average only 8.1 corners (league 10.1) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Luton: unbeaten in 11 matches
  • Luton: 23 pts in 9 matches, bookmakers expected about 17 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.

League form

Reading

No matches played this season yet.

Luton

No matches played this season yet.

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6Reading943222:1115
13Luton832316:1511
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Reading vs Luton?

Reading 3-4 Luton (half time 3-1).