League TwoMatchday 9

Chesterfield 4-2 Tranmere: prediction, tips and result

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Chesterfield
1-13-32-12-01-2
4-2Full time(half time 1-0)
Tranmere
1-10-00-22-02-2
Stadium:
Proact Stadium, Chesterfield

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Both Teams To Score: YesWon56%

Chesterfield: scored in each of their last 7 league matches

Other tips

  • Fouls – Chesterfield: Under 9.5Lost68%

    our numbers for Chesterfield: 8.2 fouls against a league average of 10.2

  • Offsides – Tranmere: Under 1.5Won59%

    our numbers for Tranmere: 1.4 offsides against a league average of 1.8

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost11%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloChesterfield119858%57%Draw23%24%Tranmere104419%19%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS56%51%O2.557%51%|exp. goals 1.8 : 1.0both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Chesterfield1:1TranmereD
  2. Tranmere1:1ChesterfieldD
  3. Tranmere4:0ChesterfieldL
  4. Chesterfield3:0TranmereW
  5. Chesterfield1:0TranmereW
Chesterfield's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.6league 9.9under 9.5: 52%Expected corners: 9.6 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 43% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 13
Cardsleague cards3.8league 3.8over 3.5: 52%Expected cards: 3.8 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.won · ended 6
Refereeawaiting appointment
Dutching(several bets at once)69%O2.51:1coverageleague 59% · H2H 4/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.9 : 1.0total 2.9Attack/defence1.8 : 1.0total 2.7
Chesterfield : Tranmere
Most likely scores
Market1-111%1-09%2-010%2-110%0-0—3-16%3-0—Attack/defence1-112%1-011%2-010%2-110%0-07%3-1—3-06%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%1-01-09%1-011%2-02-010%2-010%2-12-110%2-110%0-00-0—0-07%3-13-16%3-1—3-03-0—3-06%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals81%75%75%
1X – home team avoid defeat81%80%80%
12 – no draw77%76%76%
Under 3.5 goals65%71%71%
1 – Chesterfield win58%56% · Elo 57%56%· Elo 57%
Over 2.5 goals57%51%51%
Our tip: Both teams to score: yes56%51%51%
Both teams to score: no44%49%49%
Under 2.5 goals43%49%49%
X2 – away team avoid defeat42%44%44%
Over 3.5 goals35%29%29%
X – draw23%24% · Elo 24%24%· Elo 24%
2 – Tranmere win19%20% · Elo 19%20%· Elo 19%
Under 1.5 goals19%25%25%
Attack vs defence
Chesterfield attack vs Tranmere defenceattack1554defence1407+147 pts to the attack
Tranmere attack vs Chesterfield defenceattack1453defence1548−95 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 7.5 · 53%close to the league averageunderover 47%
We expect 7.5 in this match, 7.4 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
6.561%60%
7.547%44%
8.534%25%
9.523%18%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Chesterfieldwe expect 4.7, league average 4.2 · chance of over 4.5: 49%
Tranmerewe expect 3.0, league average 3.2 · chance of over 3.5: 34%
Foulsleague average
Under 20.5 · 72%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 28%
We expect 17.9 in this match, 20.4 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
19.535%60%
20.528%56%
21.522%48%
22.517%43%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Chesterfieldwe expect 8.2, league average 10.2 · chance of over 10.5: 22%
Tranmerewe expect 9.4, league average 10.2 · chance of over 10.5: 34%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 59%close to the league averageunderover 41%
We expect 3.2 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.563%60%
3.541%43%
4.523%29%
5.511%13%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Chesterfieldwe expect 1.8, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 52%
Tranmerewe expect 1.4, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 41%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

League form

Chesterfield

Tranmere

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
7Chesterfield1043317:1415
13Tranmere1026213:1312
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Chesterfield vs Tranmere?

Chesterfield 4-2 Tranmere (half time 1-0).

Did the Chesterfield vs Tranmere tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Both Teams To Score: Yes. The tip won.

See also