League TwoMatchday 5

Northampton 1-0 Newport County: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Sixfields Stadium, Northampton

The match in numbers

1X2EloNorthampton114254%56%Draw26%24%Newport County105021%20%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS50%51%O2.548%50%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.0not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Newport County3:0NorthamptonL
  2. Northampton1:1Newport CountyD
  3. Northampton1:0Newport CountyW
  4. Newport County0:1NorthamptonW
  5. Northampton2:0Newport CountyW
Northampton's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss1.8 goals per match
Cornersleague cornerstoo few matches
Cardsleague cardstoo few matches
Refereeno referee data

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.7 : 0.9total 2.6Attack/defence1.7 : 1.0total 2.7
Northampton : Newport County
Most likely scores
Market1-112%1-012%2-010%2-110%0-08%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%1-011%2-010%2-110%0-07%0-16%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%1-01-012%1-011%2-02-010%2-010%2-12-110%2-110%0-00-08%0-07%0-10-1—0-16%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat80%79%79%
12 – no draw75%75%75%
Over 1.5 goals74%75%75%
Under 3.5 goals74%72%72%
1 – Northampton win54%54% · Elo 56%54%· Elo 56%
Under 2.5 goals52%50%50%
Both teams to score: yes50%51%51%
Both teams to score: no50%49%49%
Over 2.5 goals48%50%50%
X2 – away team avoid defeat47%46%46%
X – draw26%25% · Elo 24%25%· Elo 24%
Under 1.5 goals26%25%25%
Over 3.5 goals26%28%28%
2 – Newport County win21%21% · Elo 20%21%· Elo 20%
Attack vs defence
Northampton attack vs Newport County defenceattack1491defence1381+110 pts to the attack
Newport County attack vs Northampton defenceattack1452defence1547−95 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Newport County: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Northampton: newly promoted
  • Northampton: 4 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Newport County: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
12Newport County1034313:1213
23Northampton81434:77
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Northampton vs Newport County?

Northampton 1-0 Newport County (half time 0-0).