Premier LeagueMatchday 1
Brighton 4-0 Aston Villa: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- American Express Community Stadium, Falmer
- Referee:
- Peter Bankes
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS53%56%O2.548%53%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.3not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Aston Villa1:0BrightonL
- Brighton3:4Aston VillaL
- Brighton0:3Aston VillaL
- Aston Villa2:2BrightonD
- Brighton1:0Aston VillaW
Brighton's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses3.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.1league 9.9over 9.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.1 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end over 9.5 corners.lost · ended 7
Cardsleague cards3.8league 3.9over 3.5: 51%Expected cards: 3.8 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 14%.won · ended 6
RefereeP. Bankes−0.2 cards vs average27 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 1.1total 2.6Attack/defence1.5 : 1.3total 2.8
Brighton : Aston VillaMost likely scores
Market1-113%1-010%2-19%0-08%2-08%1-2—0-1—Attack/defence1-112%1-09%2-19%0-0—2-07%1-27%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-112%1-01-010%1-09%2-12-19%2-19%0-00-08%0-0—2-02-08%2-07%1-21-2—1-27%0-10-1—0-17%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 74%77% | 77% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 73%69% | 69% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 72%70% | 70% |
| 12 – no draw | 72%74% | 74% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 54%56% | 56% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53%56% | 56% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 52%47% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48%53% | 53% |
| Both teams to score: no | 47%44% | 44% |
| 1 – Brighton win | 45%44% · Elo 30% | 44%· Elo 30% |
| X – draw | 27%26% · Elo 28% | 26%· Elo 28% |
| 2 – Aston Villa win | 27%31% · Elo 43% | 31%· Elo 43% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27%31% | 31% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 26%23% | 23% |
Attack vs defence
Brighton attack vs Aston Villa defenceattack1521defence1510+11 pts to the attack
Aston Villa attack vs Brighton defenceattack1515defence1517−2 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
League form
Brighton
No matches played this season yet.
Aston Villa
No matches played this season yet.
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Brighton | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 18:5 | 13 |
| 16 | Aston Villa | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:11 | 5 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Brighton vs Aston Villa?
Brighton 4-0 Aston Villa (half time 4-0).