Premier LeagueMatchday 1

Fulham 2-3 Chelsea: prediction, tips and result

·

2-3Full time(half time 1-2)
Stadium:
Craven Cottage, London (attendance: 27,461)
Referee:
John Brooks

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Over 3.5Won61%

referee John Brooks averages 4.7 cards a match, league average 3.9

For the brave
Cards: Over 4.5Won42%

referee John Brooks averages 4.7 cards a match, league average 3.9

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloFulham196426%39%Draw27%28%Chelsea203347%33%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS54%56%O2.551%52%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Fulham2:1ChelseaW
  2. Chelsea2:0FulhamL
  3. Fulham1:2ChelseaL
  4. Chelsea1:2FulhamW
  5. Chelsea1:0FulhamL
Fulham's record: 2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.0league 9.9over 9.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.0 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 10
Cardsleague cards4.3league 3.9over 3.5: 61%Expected cards: 4.3 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 18%.won · ended 5
RefereeJ. Brooks+0.8 cards vs average18 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.1 : 1.6total 2.7Attack/defence1.4 : 1.3total 2.8
Fulham : Chelsea
Most likely scores
Market1-113%0-110%1-29%1-0—2-1—0-28%0-08%Attack/defence1-112%0-18%1-28%1-09%2-19%0-2—0-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-112%0-10-110%0-18%1-21-29%1-28%1-01-0—1-09%2-12-1—2-19%0-20-28%0-2—0-00-08%0-07%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals76%76%76%
X2 – away team avoid defeat74%61%61%
12 – no draw73%74%74%
Under 3.5 goals72%70%70%
Both teams to score: yes54%56%56%
1X – home team avoid defeat53%65%65%
Over 2.5 goals51%52%52%
Under 2.5 goals49%48%48%
2 – Chelsea win47%35% · Elo 33%35%· Elo 33%
Both teams to score: no46%44%44%
Over 3.5 goals28%30%30%
X – draw27%26% · Elo 28%26%· Elo 28%
1 – Fulham win26%39% · Elo 39%39%· Elo 39%
Under 1.5 goals24%24%24%
Attack vs defence
Fulham attack vs Chelsea defenceattack1491defence1528−37 pts to the attack
Chelsea attack vs Fulham defenceattack1538defence1507+31 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Fulham: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Fulham score only 0.7 goals per game
  • Chelsea: only 7 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 15 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Fulham score a lot late on: 9 of 22 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.

League form

Fulham

No matches played this season yet.

Chelsea

No matches played this season yet.

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6Chelsea631215:1310
20Fulham60246:102
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Fulham vs Chelsea?

Fulham 2-3 Chelsea (half time 1-2).

Did the Fulham vs Chelsea tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Over 3.5. The tip won.