Premier LeagueMatchday 4

Man United 0-1 Man City: prediction, tips and result

·

0-1Full time(half time 0-0)
Stadium:
Old Trafford, Manchester
Referee:
Michael Oliver

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Lost66%

our numbers: 3.4 goals in total in this match, league average 2.8

For the brave
Total Goals: Over 3.5Lost44%

our numbers: 3.4 goals in total in this match, league average 2.8

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloMan United208632%31%Draw25%28%Man City221743%41%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS67%61%O2.566%58%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.6not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Man United2:0Man CityW
  2. Man City3:0Man UnitedL
  3. Man United0:0Man CityD
  4. Man City1:2Man UnitedW
  5. Man City3:1Man UnitedL
Man United's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.1league 9.9over 9.5: 55%Expected corners: 10.1 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 13
Cardsleague cards3.6league 4.0under 3.5: 53%Expected cards: 3.6 in this match, 4.0 on average in the league.In this league 42% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 7%.lost · ended 4
RefereeM. Oliver−0.7 cards vs average43 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 1.8total 3.4Attack/defence1.4 : 1.6total 3.0
Man United : Man City
Most likely scores
Market1-110%1-29%2-18%0-1—2-27%1-0—0-26%Attack/defence1-112%1-29%2-18%0-18%2-26%1-07%0-2—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-112%1-21-29%1-29%2-12-18%2-18%0-10-1—0-18%2-22-27%2-26%1-01-0—1-07%0-20-26%0-2—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals86%80%80%
12 – no draw75%75%75%
X2 – away team avoid defeat68%66%66%
Both teams to score: yes67%61%61%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals66%58%58%
1X – home team avoid defeat57%59%59%
Under 3.5 goals56%65%65%
Over 3.5 goals44%35%35%
2 – Man City win43%41% · Elo 41%41%· Elo 41%
Under 2.5 goals34%42%42%
Both teams to score: no33%40%40%
1 – Man United win32%34% · Elo 31%34%· Elo 31%
X – draw25%25% · Elo 28%25%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals14%20%20%
Attack vs defence
Man United attack vs Man City defenceattack1586defence1617−31 pts to the attack
Man City attack vs Man United defenceattack1640defence1518+122 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Man City matches average 12.0 corners (league 9.9) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Man United concede a lot late on: 10 of 24 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • Man United: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Man City: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Man City660016:518
13Man United61329:96
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Man United vs Man City?

Man United 0-1 Man City (half time 0-0).

Did the Man United vs Man City tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip lost.