Premier LeagueMatchday 1

Newcastle 2-2 Liverpool: prediction, tips and result

·

2-2Full time(half time 1-0)
Stadium:
St. James Park, Newcastle upon Tyne
Referee:
Stuart Attwell

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Over 3.5Won63%

referee Stuart Attwell averages 5.0 cards a match, league average 3.9

Other tips

  • Total Goals: Over 2.5Won66%

    our numbers: 3.4 goals in total in this match, league average 2.7

For the brave
Cards: Over 4.5Won45%

referee Stuart Attwell averages 5.0 cards a match, league average 3.9

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloNewcastle201625%35%Draw23%28%Liverpool210551%36%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS66%61%O2.566%58%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.5both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Liverpool4:1NewcastleL
  2. Newcastle2:3LiverpoolL
  3. Liverpool2:0NewcastleL
  4. Newcastle3:3LiverpoolD
  5. Liverpool4:2NewcastleL
Newcastle's record: 0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses4.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.9league 9.9over 9.5: 52%Expected corners: 9.9 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end over 9.5 corners.lost · ended 8
Cardsleague cards4.4league 3.9over 3.5: 63%Expected cards: 4.4 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.won · ended 8
RefereeS. Attwell+1.0 cards vs average25 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 2.0total 3.4Attack/defence1.5 : 1.5total 3.0
Newcastle : Liverpool
Most likely scores
Market1-110%1-29%2-16%0-27%1-0—0-1—2-26%Attack/defence1-111%1-28%2-18%0-2—1-07%0-17%2-26%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-111%1-21-29%1-28%2-12-16%2-18%0-20-27%0-2—1-01-0—1-07%0-10-1—0-17%2-22-26%2-26%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals86%81%81%
12 – no draw76%75%75%
X2 – away team avoid defeat74%62%62%
Over 2.5 goals66%58%58%
Both teams to score: yes66%61%61%
Under 3.5 goals56%64%64%
2 – Liverpool win51%37% · Elo 36%37%· Elo 36%
1X – home team avoid defeat48%63%63%
Over 3.5 goals44%36%36%
Under 2.5 goals34%42%42%
Both teams to score: no34%39%39%
1 – Newcastle win25%38% · Elo 35%38%· Elo 35%
X – draw23%25% · Elo 28%25%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals14%19%19%
Attack vs defence
Newcastle attack vs Liverpool defenceattack1540defence1535+5 pts to the attack
Liverpool attack vs Newcastle defenceattack1592defence1490+102 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Liverpool: only 12 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 18 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.

League form

Newcastle

No matches played this season yet.

Liverpool

No matches played this season yet.

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
9Liverpool62317:79
11Newcastle622210:138
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Newcastle vs Liverpool?

Newcastle 2-2 Liverpool (half time 1-0).

Did the Newcastle vs Liverpool tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Over 3.5. The tip won.