Gnistan 0-1 KuPS: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Mustapekka Areena, Helsinki
Referee:
Joona Kontinen

Our tips

Main tip
Both Teams To Score: YesLost59%

KuPS: scored in each of their last 10 league matches

Other tips

  • Cards: Under 3.5Won55%

    referee Joona Kontinen averages 2.4 cards a match, league average 3.7

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost12%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloGnistan140029%24%Draw26%25%KuPS152445%51%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS59%56%O2.556%54%|exp. goals 1.2 : 1.7not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. KuPS1:0GnistanL
  2. KuPS1:1GnistanD
  3. Gnistan0:4KuPSL
  4. KuPS6:2GnistanL
  5. Gnistan1:2KuPSL
Gnistan's record: 0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses3.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.1league 9.9over 9.5: 55%Expected corners: 10.1 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 11
Cardsleague cards3.4league 3.7under 3.5: 55%Expected cards: 3.4 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.won · ended 3
RefereeJ. Kontinen−1.2 cards vs average5 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 1.7total 3.0Attack/defence1.2 : 1.7total 2.8
Gnistan : KuPS
Most likely scores
Market1-112%1-29%0-18%0-27%2-17%1-0—Attack/defence1-112%1-210%0-110%0-28%2-17%1-06%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%1-21-29%1-210%0-10-18%0-110%0-20-27%0-28%2-12-17%2-17%1-01-0—1-06%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals80%78%78%
12 – no draw74%75%75%
X2 – away team avoid defeat71%74%74%
Under 3.5 goals66%68%68%
Our tip: Both teams to score: yes59%56%56%
Over 2.5 goals56%54%54%
1X – home team avoid defeat55%51%51%
2 – KuPS win45%50% · Elo 51%50%· Elo 51%
Under 2.5 goals44%46%46%
Both teams to score: no41%44%44%
Over 3.5 goals34%32%32%
1 – Gnistan win29%26% · Elo 24%26%· Elo 24%
X – draw26%25% · Elo 25%25%· Elo 25%
Under 1.5 goals20%22%22%
Attack vs defence
Gnistan attack vs KuPS defenceattack1504defence1658−154 pts to the attack
KuPS attack vs Gnistan defenceattack1618defence1464+154 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • KuPS score 2.3 goals per game
  • KuPS: 5 wins in a row
  • KuPS: 24 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 18 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Gnistan: 20 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 15 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Gnistan: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • KuPS: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

Championship Round

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3KuPS27139541:2648
4Gnistan27119740:3342
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Gnistan vs KuPS?

Gnistan 0-1 KuPS (half time 0-1).

Did the Gnistan vs KuPS tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Both Teams To Score: Yes. The tip lost.