Inter Turku 1-0 KuPS: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Veritas Stadium, Turku
Referee:
Mohammad Al-Emara

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Total Goals: Under 2.5Won57%

under 2.5 goals in 7 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 10 (45% of league matches); Inter Turku: clean sheets in each of their last 3 league matches

For the brave
Total Goals: Under 1.5Won30%

under 1.5 goals in 7 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 4 of the visitors' last 10 (23% of league matches); Inter Turku: clean sheets in each of their last 3 league matches

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloInter Turku155343%43%Draw29%27%KuPS152428%30%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS49%44%O2.543%37%|exp. goals 1.2 : 1.0not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Inter Turku1:0KuPSW
  2. KuPS1:1Inter TurkuD
  3. KuPS3:2Inter TurkuL
  4. Inter Turku0:3KuPSL
  5. KuPS2:1Inter TurkuL
Inter Turku's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.8league 9.9over 9.5: 51%Expected corners: 9.8 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 9.5 corners.lost · ended 5
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.0league 3.7over 3.5: 56%Expected yellow cards: 4.0 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 14%.won · ended 5
RefereeM. Al-Emara+1.1 yellow cards vs average14 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)68%X21:0coverageleague 64% · H2H 5/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 1.0total 2.4Attack/defence1.2 : 1.0total 2.2
Inter Turku : KuPS
Most likely scores
Market1-114%1-011%0-010%0-18%2-19%2-0—Attack/defence1-114%1-013%0-012%0-111%2-18%2-08%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-114%1-01-011%1-013%0-00-010%0-012%0-10-18%0-111%2-12-19%2-18%2-02-0—2-08%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals78%83%83%
1X – home team avoid defeat72%69%69%
12 – no draw71%70%70%
Over 1.5 goals70%64%64%
X2 – away team avoid defeat57%62%62%
Our tip: Under 2.5 goals57%63%63%
Both teams to score: no51%56%56%
Both teams to score: yes49%44%44%
1 – Inter Turku win43%39% · Elo 43%39%· Elo 43%
Over 2.5 goals43%37%37%
Under 1.5 goals30%36%36%
X – draw29%30% · Elo 27%30%· Elo 27%
2 – KuPS win28%31% · Elo 30%31%· Elo 30%
Over 3.5 goals22%17%17%
Attack vs defence
Inter Turku attack vs KuPS defenceattack1534defence1627−93 pts to the attack
KuPS attack vs Inter Turku defenceattack1590defence1664−74 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 60%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 40%
We expect 7.9 in this match, 8.7 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.553%61%
8.540%48%
9.528%38%
10.519%27%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Inter Turkuwe expect 4.1, league average 4.4 · chance of over 4.5: 38%
KuPSwe expect 3.4, league average 4.2 · chance of over 4.5: 27%
Foulsleague average
Over 19.5 · 78%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 22%over
We expect 24.2 in this match, 20.0 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
18.583%59%
19.578%52%
20.572%44%
21.566%38%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Inter Turkuwe expect 10.8, league average 10.0 · chance of over 9.5: 62%
KuPSwe expect 11.8, league average 10.0 · chance of over 9.5: 72%
Referee: 21.8 fouls per match on average (20 matches in our data)+3.4 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 52%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 48%
We expect 3.6 in this match, 3.1 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.569%58%
3.548%36%
4.530%22%
5.516%10%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Inter Turkuwe expect 1.9, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 55%
KuPSwe expect 1.8, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 53%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Inter Turku concede only 0.6 goals per game
  • KuPS played 3 days ago
  • Inter Turku: 4 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

Championship Round

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Inter Turku271410333:1852
3KuPS27139541:2648
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Inter Turku vs KuPS?

Inter Turku 1-0 KuPS (half time 0-0).

Did the Inter Turku vs KuPS tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Under 2.5. The tip won.