Mariehamn 1-1 AC Oulu: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Wiklof Holding Arena, Mariehamn
Referee:
Joona Kontinen

Our tips

Main tip
Match Result: AC OuluLost64%

Mariehamn: winless in their last 16 league matches

Other tips

  • Cards: Under 3.5Lost58%

    our numbers: 3.3 cards against a league average of 3.7

For the brave
Correct Score: 0:2Lost10%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloMariehamn124016%30%Draw20%27%AC Oulu130264%43%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS56%56%O2.561%52%|exp. goals 1.2 : 1.5both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. AC Oulu2:1MariehamnL
  2. Mariehamn2:0AC OuluW
  3. Mariehamn0:1AC OuluL
  4. AC Oulu0:1MariehamnW
  5. AC Oulu1:2MariehamnW
Mariehamn's record: 3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.8league 9.9over 9.5: 52%Expected corners: 9.8 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 16
Cardsleague cards3.3league 3.7under 3.5: 58%Expected cards: 3.3 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.In this league 47% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.lost · ended 5
RefereeJ. Kontinen−2.1 cards vs average4 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.0 : 2.1total 3.1Attack/defence1.2 : 1.5total 2.8
Mariehamn : AC Oulu
Most likely scores
Market1-110%0-210%1-210%0-19%1-0—2-1—0-37%Attack/defence1-112%0-27%1-29%0-19%1-08%2-17%0-3—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-112%0-20-210%0-27%1-21-210%1-29%0-10-19%0-19%1-01-0—1-08%2-12-1—2-17%0-30-37%0-3—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
X2 – away team avoid defeat84%69%69%
Over 1.5 goals83%76%76%
12 – no draw80%74%74%
Our tip: 2 – AC Oulu win64%43% · Elo 43%43%· Elo 43%
Under 3.5 goals62%70%70%
Over 2.5 goals61%52%52%
Both teams to score: yes56%56%56%
Both teams to score: no44%44%44%
Under 2.5 goals39%48%48%
Over 3.5 goals38%30%30%
1X – home team avoid defeat36%57%57%
X – draw20%26% · Elo 27%26%· Elo 27%
Under 1.5 goals17%24%24%
1 – Mariehamn win16%31% · Elo 30%31%· Elo 30%
Attack vs defence
Mariehamn attack vs AC Oulu defenceattack1345defence1464−119 pts to the attack
AC Oulu attack vs Mariehamn defenceattack1433defence1347+86 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Mariehamn concede 2.6 goals per game
  • Mariehamn score only 0.4 goals per game
  • Mariehamn: 9 defeats in a row
  • Mariehamn: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • AC Oulu: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6MariehamnRelegation Round26461621:4818
6AC OuluChampionship Round271141230:3337
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Mariehamn vs AC Oulu?

Mariehamn 1-1 AC Oulu (half time 1-0).

Did the Mariehamn vs AC Oulu tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Match Result: AC Oulu. The tip lost.