Ligue 1Matchday 2
Brest 2-2 Toulouse: prediction, tips and result
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- Stadium:
- Stade Francis-Le Ble, Brest
- Referee:
- Jerome Brisard
Our tips
Main tip
Cards: Over 3.5Won58%
referee Jerome Brisard averages 4.8 cards a match, league average 3.9
For the brave
Cards: Over 4.5Won39%
referee Jerome Brisard averages 4.8 cards a match, league average 3.9
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS55%54%O2.549%49%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Brest0:2ToulouseL
- Toulouse2:0BrestL
- Toulouse2:4BrestW
- Brest2:0ToulouseW
- Toulouse0:3BrestW
Brest's record: 3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.5league 9.6under 9.5: 53%Expected corners: 9.5 in this match, 9.6 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 9
Cardsleague cards4.1league 3.9over 3.5: 58%Expected cards: 4.1 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 29%.won · ended 5
RefereeJ. Brisard+0.8 cards vs average17 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 1.3total 2.7Attack/defence1.4 : 1.3total 2.6
Brest : ToulouseMost likely scores
Market1-113%1-09%2-19%0-18%0-08%1-2—Attack/defence1-113%1-010%2-19%0-19%0-08%1-28%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%1-01-09%1-010%2-12-19%2-19%0-10-18%0-19%0-00-08%0-08%1-21-2—1-28%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 75%74% | 74% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 73%73% | 73% |
| 12 – no draw | 72%73% | 73% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 67%67% | 67% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 61%61% | 61% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55%54% | 54% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 51%51% | 51% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49%49% | 49% |
| Both teams to score: no | 45%46% | 46% |
| 1 – Brest win | 39%40% · Elo 38% | 40%· Elo 38% |
| 2 – Toulouse win | 33%34% · Elo 34% | 34%· Elo 34% |
| X – draw | 28%27% · Elo 28% | 27%· Elo 28% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27%27% | 27% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 25%26% | 26% |
Attack vs defence
Brest attack vs Toulouse defenceattack1489defence1529−40 pts to the attack
Toulouse attack vs Brest defenceattack1475defence1452+23 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Brest concede 2.3 goals per game
- Brest: no win in 10 matches
- Brest: only 4 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 10 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Brest: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Toulouse: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
Brest
Toulouse
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Brest | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12:9 | 8 |
| 15 | Toulouse | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9:11 | 6 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Brest vs Toulouse?
Brest 2-2 Toulouse (half time 1-1).
Did the Brest vs Toulouse tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Cards: Over 3.5. The tip won.