Ligue 1Matchday 1
Lens 5-2 Auxerre: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens
- Referee:
- Mathieu Vernice
Our tips
Main tip
Cards: Over 3.5Lost61%
referee Mathieu Vernice averages 5.0 cards a match, league average 3.9
Other tips
- Total Goals: Over 2.5Won58%
over 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings
For the brave
Cards: Over 4.5Lost42%
referee Mathieu Vernice averages 5.0 cards a match, league average 3.9
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS53%51%O2.558%50%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.0both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Lens1:0AuxerreW
- Auxerre1:2LensW
- Lens0:4AuxerreL
- Auxerre2:2LensD
- Auxerre1:3LensW
Lens's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss3.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.0league 9.6over 9.5: 53%Expected corners: 10.0 in this match, 9.6 on average in the league.In this league 48% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 11
Cardsleague cards4.3league 3.9over 3.5: 61%Expected cards: 4.3 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 26%.lost · ended 3
RefereeM. Vernice+1.1 cards vs average16 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.1 : 0.9total 3.0Attack/defence1.7 : 1.0total 2.7
Lens : AuxerreMost likely scores
Market1-110%1-010%2-011%2-110%3-08%0-0—0-1—Attack/defence1-112%1-012%2-010%2-110%3-0—0-07%0-16%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-112%1-01-010%1-012%2-02-011%2-010%2-12-110%2-110%3-03-08%3-0—0-00-0—0-07%0-10-1—0-16%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 85%80% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81%75% | 75% |
| 12 – no draw | 80%76% | 76% |
| 1 – Lens win | 65%56% · Elo 60% | 56%· Elo 60% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 64%72% | 72% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58%50% | 50% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53%51% | 51% |
| Both teams to score: no | 47%49% | 49% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 42%50% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36%28% | 28% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 35%44% | 44% |
| X – draw | 20%24% · Elo 23% | 24%· Elo 23% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 19%25% | 25% |
| 2 – Auxerre win | 15%20% · Elo 17% | 20%· Elo 17% |
Attack vs defence
Lens attack vs Auxerre defenceattack1590defence1504+86 pts to the attack
Auxerre attack vs Lens defenceattack1439defence1569−130 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Lens matches average 12.1 corners (league 9.6) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
League form
Lens
No matches played this season yet.
Auxerre
No matches played this season yet.
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Lens | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11:10 | 7 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8:16 | 6 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Lens vs Auxerre?
Lens 5-2 Auxerre (half time 1-0).
Did the Lens vs Auxerre tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Cards: Over 3.5. The tip lost.