Ligue 1Matchday 2
Lille 2-2 Paris SG: prediction, tips and result
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- Stadium:
- Stade Pierre Mauroy, Lille
- Referee:
- Eric Wattellier
Our tips
Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won57%
over 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings
For the brave
Total Goals: Over 3.5Won35%
over 3.5 goals in 3 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS57%53%O2.557%48%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.4both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Paris SG3:0LilleL
- Lille1:1Paris SGD
- Paris SG4:1LilleL
- Lille1:3Paris SGL
- Paris SG3:1LilleL
Lille's record: 0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses3.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.7league 9.6over 9.5: 50%Expected corners: 9.7 in this match, 9.6 on average in the league.In this league 48% of matches end over 9.5 corners.lost · ended 5
Cardsleague cards3.5league 3.9under 3.5: 54%Expected cards: 3.5 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 42% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 22%.won · ended 3
RefereeE. Wattellier−0.8 cards vs average20 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.1 : 1.9total 3.0Attack/defence1.3 : 1.4total 2.6
Lille : Paris SGMost likely scores
Market1-111%1-210%0-19%0-29%1-0—0-0—2-1—1-36%Attack/defence1-113%1-29%0-110%0-2—1-09%0-08%2-18%1-3—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-113%1-21-210%1-29%0-10-19%0-110%0-20-29%0-2—1-01-0—1-09%0-00-0—0-08%2-12-1—2-18%1-31-36%1-3—
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 81%73% | 73% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 79%66% | 66% |
| 12 – no draw | 76%73% | 73% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 65%74% | 74% |
| Our tip: Over 2.5 goals | 57%48% | 48% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57%53% | 53% |
| 2 – Paris SG win | 55%39% · Elo 62% | 39%· Elo 62% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 45%61% | 61% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 43%52% | 52% |
| Both teams to score: no | 43%47% | 47% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35%26% | 26% |
| X – draw | 24%27% · Elo 22% | 27%· Elo 22% |
| 1 – Lille win | 21%34% · Elo 16% | 34%· Elo 16% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 19%27% | 27% |
Attack vs defence
Lille attack vs Paris SG defenceattack1525defence1616−91 pts to the attack
Paris SG attack vs Lille defenceattack1673defence1606+67 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Paris SG matches average only 2.3 cards (league 3.9) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Paris SG: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Lille concede only 0.5 goals per game
- Lille: 23 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 17 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Lille: 5 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Paris SG: 5 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
Lille
Paris SG
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lille | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:4 | 13 |
| 6 | Paris SG | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:8 | 11 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Lille vs Paris SG?
Lille 2-2 Paris SG (half time 1-0).
Did the Lille vs Paris SG tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.