Ligue 1Matchday 1

Marseille 4-0 Strasbourg: prediction, tips and result

·

4-0Full time(half time 0-0)
Stadium:
CEPAC Velodrome, Marseille
Referee:
Ruddy Buquet

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 3.5Lost56%

referee Ruddy Buquet averages 2.9 cards a match, league average 3.9; our numbers: 3.4 cards against a league average of 3.9

Other tips

  • Both Teams To Score: YesLost61%

    goals at both ends in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

For the brave
Cards: Under 2.5Lost35%

referee Ruddy Buquet averages 2.9 cards a match, league average 3.9; our numbers: 3.4 cards against a league average of 3.9

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloMarseille183855%44%Draw23%27%Strasbourg184122%29%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS61%58%O2.562%57%|exp. goals 1.8 : 1.2not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Marseille2:2StrasbourgD
  2. Strasbourg1:2MarseilleW
  3. Marseille1:1StrasbourgD
  4. Strasbourg1:0MarseilleL
  5. Marseille1:1StrasbourgD
Marseille's record: 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.7league 9.6over 9.5: 51%Expected corners: 9.7 in this match, 9.6 on average in the league.In this league 48% of matches end over 9.5 corners.lost · ended 7
Cardsleague cards3.4league 3.9under 3.5: 56%Expected cards: 3.4 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 42% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 17%.lost · ended 4
RefereeR. Buquet−1.1 cards vs average17 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.0 : 1.2total 3.2Attack/defence1.8 : 1.2total 3.0
Marseille : Strasbourg
Most likely scores
Market1-110%2-110%1-07%2-08%3-17%1-2—0-1—Attack/defence1-111%2-110%1-09%2-08%3-1—1-27%0-16%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-111%2-12-110%2-110%1-01-07%1-09%2-02-08%2-08%3-13-17%3-1—1-21-2—1-27%0-10-1—0-16%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals84%79%79%
1X – home team avoid defeat78%74%74%
12 – no draw77%76%76%
Over 2.5 goals62%57%57%
Both teams to score: yes61%58%58%
Under 3.5 goals60%66%66%
1 – Marseille win55%50% · Elo 44%50%· Elo 44%
X2 – away team avoid defeat45%50%50%
Over 3.5 goals40%34%34%
Both teams to score: no39%42%42%
Under 2.5 goals38%43%43%
X – draw23%24% · Elo 27%24%· Elo 27%
2 – Strasbourg win22%26% · Elo 29%26%· Elo 29%
Under 1.5 goals16%21%21%
Attack vs defence
Marseille attack vs Strasbourg defenceattack1589defence1497+92 pts to the attack
Strasbourg attack vs Marseille defenceattack1529defence1523+6 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

League form

Marseille

No matches played this season yet.

Strasbourg

No matches played this season yet.

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
11Strasbourg621311:127
13Marseille62049:86
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Marseille vs Strasbourg?

Marseille 4-0 Strasbourg (half time 0-0).

Did the Marseille vs Strasbourg tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 3.5. The tip lost.