Ligue 1Matchday 3

Nice 1-1 Le Mans: prediction, tips and result

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1-1Full time(half time 1-1)
Stadium:
Allianz Rivera, Nice
Referee:
Jeremie Pignard

The match in numbers

1X2EloNice172155%45%Draw24%27%Le Mans168921%28%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS56%55%O2.556%52%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Le Mans0:1NiceW
  2. Nice1:0Le MansW
  3. Le Mans1:2NiceW
  4. Nice2:2Le MansD
  5. Nice0:0Le MansD
Nice's record: 3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses1.8 goals per match
Cornersleague cornerstoo few matches
Cardsleague cardstoo few matches
RefereeJ. Pignard+0.8 cards vs average20 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.9 : 1.1total 3.0Attack/defence1.7 : 1.1total 2.8
Nice : Le Mans
Most likely scores
Market1-111%1-09%2-110%2-09%0-06%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%1-010%2-110%2-09%0-07%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%1-01-09%1-010%2-12-110%2-110%2-02-09%2-09%0-00-06%0-07%0-10-1—0-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals80%76%76%
1X – home team avoid defeat79%75%75%
12 – no draw76%75%75%
Under 3.5 goals67%70%70%
Over 2.5 goals56%52%52%
Both teams to score: yes56%55%55%
1 – Nice win55%50% · Elo 45%50%· Elo 45%
X2 – away team avoid defeat45%50%50%
Under 2.5 goals44%48%48%
Both teams to score: no44%45%45%
Over 3.5 goals33%30%30%
X – draw24%25% · Elo 27%25%· Elo 27%
2 – Le Mans win21%25% · Elo 28%25%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals20%24%24%
Attack vs defence
Nice attack vs Le Mans defenceattack1460defence1410+50 pts to the attack
Le Mans attack vs Nice defenceattack1419defence1469−50 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Nice matches average only 2.6 cards (league 3.9) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Nice score a lot late on: 8 of 20 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • Le Mans: newly promoted
  • Nice: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Le Mans: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
9Nice62225:78
14Le Mans613210:126
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Nice vs Le Mans?

Nice 1-1 Le Mans (half time 1-1).