2. BundesligaMatchday 1

Darmstadt 2-2 Holstein Kiel: prediction, tips and result

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2-2Full time(half time 0-2)
Stadium:
Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor, Darmstadt
Referee:
Felix Bickel

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Lost59%

referee Felix Bickel averages 4.0 cards a match, league average 4.8; our numbers: 4.2 cards against a league average of 4.8

For the brave
Cards: Under 3.5Lost40%

referee Felix Bickel averages 4.0 cards a match, league average 4.8; our numbers: 4.2 cards against a league average of 4.8

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloDarmstadt148643%42%Draw27%27%Holstein Kiel148130%31%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS61%57%O2.558%55%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.2both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Darmstadt2:0Holstein KielW
  2. Holstein Kiel1:1DarmstadtD
  3. Holstein Kiel0:3DarmstadtW
  4. Darmstadt1:1Holstein KielD
  5. Darmstadt3:1Holstein KielW
Darmstadt's record: 3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.0league 10.0under 10.5: 59%Expected corners: 10.0 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 12
Cardsleague cards4.2league 4.8under 4.5: 59%Expected cards: 4.2 in this match, 4.8 on average in the league.In this league 46% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 17%.lost · ended 5
RefereeF. Bickel−1.8 cards vs average12 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 1.4total 3.0Attack/defence1.7 : 1.2total 2.9
Darmstadt : Holstein Kiel
Most likely scores
Market1-112%2-19%1-07%1-28%2-07%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%2-19%1-09%1-27%2-08%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%2-12-19%2-19%1-01-07%1-09%1-21-28%1-27%2-02-07%2-08%0-10-1—0-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals81%78%78%
12 – no draw73%75%75%
1X – home team avoid defeat70%72%72%
Under 3.5 goals64%67%67%
Both teams to score: yes61%57%57%
Over 2.5 goals58%55%55%
X2 – away team avoid defeat57%53%53%
1 – Darmstadt win43%47% · Elo 42%47%· Elo 42%
Under 2.5 goals42%45%45%
Both teams to score: no39%43%43%
Over 3.5 goals36%33%33%
2 – Holstein Kiel win30%28% · Elo 31%28%· Elo 31%
X – draw27%25% · Elo 27%25%· Elo 27%
Under 1.5 goals19%22%22%
Attack vs defence
Darmstadt attack vs Holstein Kiel defenceattack1524defence1494+30 pts to the attack
Holstein Kiel attack vs Darmstadt defenceattack1474defence1501−27 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Holstein Kiel matches average 6.1 cards (league 4.8) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Darmstadt: no win in 9 matches
  • Darmstadt: only 7 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 14 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.

League form

Darmstadt

No matches played this season yet.

Holstein Kiel

No matches played this season yet.

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
14Darmstadt72148:147
18Holstein Kiel70437:114
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Darmstadt vs Holstein Kiel?

Darmstadt 2-2 Holstein Kiel (half time 0-2).

Did the Darmstadt vs Holstein Kiel tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip lost.