2. BundesligaMatchday 1

Nurnberg 3-0 Dresden: prediction, tips and result

·

3-0Full time(half time 2-0)
Stadium:
Max-Morlock-Stadion, Nuremberg
Referee:
Jarno Wienefeld

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Won61%

our numbers: 4.1 cards against a league average of 4.7

For the brave
Cards: Under 3.5Won42%

our numbers: 4.1 cards against a league average of 4.7

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloNurnberg153543%46%Draw27%27%Dresden143130%28%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS59%57%O2.556%54%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.3not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Nurnberg0:2DresdenL
  2. Dresden1:2NurnbergW
  3. Nurnberg1:1DresdenD
  4. Dresden0:1NurnbergW
  5. Nurnberg2:0DresdenW
Nurnberg's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.0league 10.1under 10.5: 58%Expected corners: 10.0 in this match, 10.1 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 10
Cardsleague cards4.1league 4.7under 4.5: 61%Expected cards: 4.1 in this match, 4.7 on average in the league.In this league 47% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 18%.won · ended 2
RefereeJ. Wienefeld−1.4 cards vs average11 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 1.3total 2.9Attack/defence1.6 : 1.3total 2.9
Nurnberg : Dresden
Most likely scores
Market1-112%2-19%1-08%1-28%2-07%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%2-19%1-09%1-27%2-07%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%2-12-19%2-19%1-01-08%1-09%1-21-28%1-27%2-02-07%2-07%0-10-1—0-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals80%78%78%
12 – no draw73%75%75%
1X – home team avoid defeat70%70%70%
Under 3.5 goals67%68%68%
Both teams to score: yes59%57%57%
X2 – away team avoid defeat57%56%56%
Over 2.5 goals56%54%54%
Under 2.5 goals44%46%46%
1 – Nurnberg win43%44% · Elo 46%44%· Elo 46%
Both teams to score: no41%43%43%
Over 3.5 goals33%32%32%
2 – Dresden win30%31% · Elo 28%31%· Elo 28%
X – draw27%25% · Elo 27%25%· Elo 27%
Under 1.5 goals20%22%22%
Attack vs defence
Nurnberg attack vs Dresden defenceattack1493defence1492+1 pts to the attack
Dresden attack vs Nurnberg defenceattack1495defence1502−7 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Dresden matches average only 3.1 cards (league 4.7) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.

League form

Nurnberg

No matches played this season yet.

Dresden

No matches played this season yet.

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Nurnberg752020:1017
16Dresden71249:155
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Nurnberg vs Dresden?

Nurnberg 3-0 Dresden (half time 2-0).

Did the Nurnberg vs Dresden tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip won.