2. BundesligaMatchday 5

Osnabruck 1-3 Hertha: prediction, tips and result

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1-3Full time(half time 0-0)
Stadium:
Bremer Brücke, Osnabruck
Referee:
Felix Weller

The match in numbers

1X2EloOsnabruck143631%32%Draw25%28%Hertha156344%41%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS67%60%O2.566%58%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.4both scored
H2Hlast 4 meetings
  1. Osnabruck2:1HerthaW
  2. Hertha0:0OsnabruckD
  3. Hertha4:0OsnabruckL
  4. Osnabruck2:0HerthaW
Osnabruck's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague cornerstoo few matches
Cardsleague cardstoo few matches
RefereeF. Weller−0.7 cards vs average1 match

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 1.9total 3.4Attack/defence1.7 : 1.4total 3.0
Osnabruck : Hertha
Most likely scores
Market1-110%2-17%1-29%1-0—2-27%2-0—0-1—0-26%Attack/defence1-111%2-19%1-27%1-08%2-2—2-07%0-16%0-2—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-111%2-12-17%2-19%1-21-29%1-27%1-01-0—1-08%2-22-27%2-2—2-02-0—2-07%0-10-1—0-16%0-20-26%0-2—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals86%80%80%
12 – no draw75%75%75%
X2 – away team avoid defeat69%55%55%
Both teams to score: yes67%60%60%
Over 2.5 goals66%58%58%
1X – home team avoid defeat56%69%69%
Under 3.5 goals56%64%64%
2 – Hertha win44%31% · Elo 41%31%· Elo 41%
Over 3.5 goals44%36%36%
Under 2.5 goals34%42%42%
Both teams to score: no33%40%40%
1 – Osnabruck win31%45% · Elo 32%45%· Elo 32%
X – draw25%25% · Elo 28%25%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals14%20%20%
Attack vs defence
Osnabruck attack vs Hertha defenceattack1500defence1499+1 pts to the attack
Hertha attack vs Osnabruck defenceattack1527defence1528−1 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Hertha: 4 wins in a row
  • Osnabruck: newly promoted
  • Osnabruck: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Hertha: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Hertha770019:821
10Osnabruck722310:138
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Osnabruck vs Hertha?

Osnabruck 1-3 Hertha (half time 0-0).