2. BundesligaMatchday 5

St Pauli 1-0 Wolfsburg: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg
Referee:
Soren Storks

The match in numbers

1X2EloSt Pauli163137%29%Draw26%27%Wolfsburg173437%44%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS63%59%O2.560%56%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.4not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. St Pauli1:3WolfsburgL
  2. Wolfsburg2:1St PauliL
  3. Wolfsburg1:1St PauliD
  4. St Pauli0:0WolfsburgD
  5. Wolfsburg2:2St PauliD
St Pauli's record: 0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague cornerstoo few matches
Cardsleague cardstoo few matches
RefereeS. Storks+0.6 cards vs average18 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 1.5total 3.1Attack/defence1.6 : 1.4total 2.9
St Pauli : Wolfsburg
Most likely scores
Market1-112%2-18%1-06%1-28%0-1—2-0—2-26%Attack/defence1-112%2-19%1-08%1-28%0-17%2-07%2-2—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%2-12-18%2-19%1-01-06%1-08%1-21-28%1-28%0-10-1—0-17%2-02-0—2-07%2-22-26%2-2—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals82%79%79%
12 – no draw74%75%75%
1X – home team avoid defeat63%67%67%
X2 – away team avoid defeat63%58%58%
Under 3.5 goals63%67%67%
Both teams to score: yes63%59%59%
Over 2.5 goals60%56%56%
Under 2.5 goals40%44%44%
1 – St Pauli win37%42% · Elo 29%42%· Elo 29%
2 – Wolfsburg win37%33% · Elo 44%33%· Elo 44%
Over 3.5 goals37%33%33%
Both teams to score: no37%41%41%
X – draw26%25% · Elo 27%25%· Elo 27%
Under 1.5 goals18%21%21%
Attack vs defence
St Pauli attack vs Wolfsburg defenceattack1487defence1524−37 pts to the attack
Wolfsburg attack vs St Pauli defenceattack1521defence1525−4 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • St Pauli: newly promoted
  • Wolfsburg: newly promoted
  • St Pauli: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Wolfsburg: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5Wolfsburg733119:1212
7St Pauli724110:810
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of St Pauli vs Wolfsburg?

St Pauli 1-0 Wolfsburg (half time 0-0).