BundesligaMatchday 1

Dortmund 2-0 Hamburg: prediction, tips and result

·

2-0Full time(half time 2-0)
Stadium:
Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund
Referee:
Felix Zwayer

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Over 3.5Won59%

referee Felix Zwayer averages 4.5 cards a match, league average 3.8

Other tips

  • Match Result: DortmundWon73%

    Dortmund: won 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

For the brave
Cards: Over 4.5Lost41%

referee Felix Zwayer averages 4.5 cards a match, league average 3.8

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloDortmund204173%75%Draw16%16%Hamburg170011%9%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS55%57%O2.567%64%|exp. goals 2.3 : 1.0not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Dortmund3:2HamburgW
  2. Hamburg1:1DortmundD
  3. Dortmund2:0HamburgW
  4. Hamburg0:3DortmundW
  5. Dortmund3:0HamburgW
Dortmund's record: 4 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.9league 9.8over 9.5: 52%Expected corners: 9.9 in this match, 9.8 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 9.5 corners.lost · ended 4
Cardsleague cards4.2league 3.8over 3.5: 59%Expected cards: 4.2 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 20%.won · ended 4
RefereeF. Zwayer+0.8 cards vs average26 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.5 : 0.9total 3.4Attack/defence2.3 : 1.0total 3.3
Dortmund : Hamburg
Most likely scores
Market2-010%2-19%3-09%1-18%1-0—3-18%Attack/defence2-010%2-110%3-08%1-19%1-08%3-17%
MarketAttack/defence2-02-010%2-010%2-12-19%2-110%3-03-09%3-08%1-11-18%1-19%1-01-0—1-08%3-13-18%3-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat89%85%85%
Over 1.5 goals86%84%84%
12 – no draw84%81%81%
1 – Dortmund win73%66% · Elo 75%66%· Elo 75%
Over 2.5 goals67%64%64%
Under 3.5 goals55%58%58%
Both teams to score: yes55%57%57%
Over 3.5 goals45%42%42%
Both teams to score: no45%43%43%
Under 2.5 goals33%36%36%
X2 – away team avoid defeat27%34%34%
X – draw16%19% · Elo 16%19%· Elo 16%
Under 1.5 goals14%16%16%
2 – Hamburg win11%15% · Elo 9%15%· Elo 9%
Attack vs defence
Dortmund attack vs Hamburg defenceattack1603defence1444+159 pts to the attack
Hamburg attack vs Dortmund defenceattack1423defence1598−175 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Hamburg matches average 5.5 cards (league 3.8) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.

League form

Dortmund

No matches played this season yet.

Hamburg

No matches played this season yet.

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Dortmund541011:413
12Hamburg52035:156
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Dortmund vs Hamburg?

Dortmund 2-0 Hamburg (half time 2-0).

Did the Dortmund vs Hamburg tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Over 3.5. The tip won.