BundesligaMatchday 1

Freiburg 4-1 Werder Bremen: prediction, tips and result

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4-1Full time(half time 2-0)
Stadium:
Europa-Park-Stadion, Freiburg im Breisgau
Referee:
Daniel Siebert

The match in numbers

1X2EloFreiburg192653%60%Draw25%23%Werder Bremen177122%17%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS59%58%O2.558%55%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Freiburg1:0Werder BremenW
  2. Werder Bremen0:3FreiburgW
  3. Freiburg5:0Werder BremenW
  4. Werder Bremen0:1FreiburgW
  5. Werder Bremen3:1FreiburgL
Freiburg's record: 4 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.4league 9.8under 9.5: 53%Expected corners: 9.4 in this match, 9.8 on average in the league.In this league 47% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 11
Cardsleague cards3.7league 3.8under 3.5: 50%Expected cards: 3.7 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 47% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 19%.won · ended 2
RefereeD. Siebert0.0 cards vs average30 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.9 : 1.1total 3.0Attack/defence1.7 : 1.3total 2.9
Freiburg : Werder Bremen
Most likely scores
Market1-111%2-110%2-09%1-08%1-2—0-1—3-16%Attack/defence1-112%2-19%2-08%1-09%1-27%0-17%3-1—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%2-12-110%2-19%2-02-09%2-08%1-01-08%1-09%1-21-2—1-27%0-10-1—0-17%3-13-16%3-1—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals81%79%79%
1X – home team avoid defeat78%71%71%
12 – no draw75%75%75%
Under 3.5 goals64%67%67%
Both teams to score: yes59%58%58%
Over 2.5 goals58%55%55%
1 – Freiburg win53%46% · Elo 60%46%· Elo 60%
X2 – away team avoid defeat47%54%54%
Under 2.5 goals42%45%45%
Both teams to score: no41%42%42%
Over 3.5 goals36%33%33%
X – draw25%25% · Elo 23%25%· Elo 23%
2 – Werder Bremen win22%29% · Elo 17%29%· Elo 17%
Under 1.5 goals19%21%21%
Attack vs defence
Freiburg attack vs Werder Bremen defenceattack1470defence1489−19 pts to the attack
Werder Bremen attack vs Freiburg defenceattack1443defence1491−48 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Freiburg matches average only 7.4 corners (league 9.8) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.

League form

Freiburg

No matches played this season yet.

Werder Bremen

No matches played this season yet.

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Freiburg541014:413
7Werder Bremen522110:108
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Freiburg vs Werder Bremen?

Freiburg 4-1 Werder Bremen (half time 2-0).