BundesligaMatchday 2
Leverkusen 4-0 Union Berlin: prediction, tips and result
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- Stadium:
- BayArena, Leverkusen
- Referee:
- Robin Braun
Our tips
Main tip
Cards: Over 3.5Won56%
referee Robin Braun averages 5.0 cards a match, league average 3.8
For the brave
Cards: Over 4.5Lost38%
referee Robin Braun averages 5.0 cards a match, league average 3.8
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS58%59%O2.570%62%|exp. goals 2.1 : 1.1not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Union Berlin1:0LeverkusenL
- Leverkusen2:0Union BerlinW
- Leverkusen0:0Union BerlinD
- Union Berlin1:2LeverkusenW
- Union Berlin0:1LeverkusenW
Leverkusen's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss1.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.0league 9.8over 9.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.0 in this match, 9.8 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 12
Cardsleague cards4.0league 3.8over 3.5: 56%Expected cards: 4.0 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 17%.won · ended 4
RefereeR. Braun+0.7 cards vs average15 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.6 : 1.0total 3.6Attack/defence2.1 : 1.1total 3.2
Leverkusen : Union BerlinMost likely scores
Market2-19%1-17%2-09%1-0—3-08%3-18%Attack/defence2-110%1-110%2-09%1-08%3-06%3-17%
MarketAttack/defence2-12-19%2-110%1-11-17%1-110%2-02-09%2-09%1-01-0—1-08%3-03-08%3-06%3-13-18%3-17%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 88%81% | 81% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 88%83% | 83% |
| 12 – no draw | 85%79% | 79% |
| 1 – Leverkusen win | 73%59% · Elo 66% | 59%· Elo 66% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70%62% | 62% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 58%59% | 59% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 51%61% | 61% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 49%39% | 39% |
| Both teams to score: no | 42%41% | 41% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 30%39% | 39% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 27%41% | 41% |
| X – draw | 15%21% · Elo 20% | 21%· Elo 20% |
| 2 – Union Berlin win | 12%19% · Elo 14% | 19%· Elo 14% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 12%17% | 17% |
Attack vs defence
Leverkusen attack vs Union Berlin defenceattack1596defence1496+100 pts to the attack
Union Berlin attack vs Leverkusen defenceattack1438defence1555−117 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Union Berlin: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Union Berlin score a lot late on: 15 of 27 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Leverkusen: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Union Berlin: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
Leverkusen
Union Berlin
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Leverkusen | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14:8 | 10 |
| 16 | Union Berlin | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:17 | 4 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Leverkusen vs Union Berlin?
Leverkusen 4-0 Union Berlin (half time 2-0).
Did the Leverkusen vs Union Berlin tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Cards: Over 3.5. The tip won.