BundesligaMatchday 1

RB Leipzig 3-0 M'gladbach: prediction, tips and result

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3-0Full time(half time 1-0)
Stadium:
Red Bull Arena, Leipzig
Referee:
Sven Jablonski

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 3.5Won57%

referee Sven Jablonski averages 2.9 cards a match, league average 3.8; our numbers: 3.3 cards against a league average of 3.8

For the brave
Cards: Under 2.5Won36%

referee Sven Jablonski averages 2.9 cards a match, league average 3.8

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloRB Leipzig191762%58%Draw20%24%M'gladbach174418%18%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS62%59%O2.566%59%|exp. goals 1.9 : 1.2not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. RB Leipzig1:0M'gladbachW
  2. M'gladbach0:0RB LeipzigD
  3. M'gladbach1:0RB LeipzigL
  4. RB Leipzig0:0M'gladbachD
  5. RB Leipzig2:0M'gladbachW
RB Leipzig's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss0.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.4league 9.8under 9.5: 54%Expected corners: 9.4 in this match, 9.8 on average in the league.In this league 47% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 13
Cardsleague cards3.3league 3.8under 3.5: 57%Expected cards: 3.3 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 48% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 14%.won · ended 1
RefereeS. Jablonski−1.0 cards vs average24 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.3 : 1.1total 3.4Attack/defence1.9 : 1.2total 3.1
RB Leipzig : M'gladbach
Most likely scores
Market1-19%2-110%2-09%1-07%3-17%1-2—Attack/defence1-111%2-110%2-09%1-09%3-16%1-26%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-19%1-111%2-12-110%2-110%2-02-09%2-09%1-01-07%1-09%3-13-17%3-16%1-21-2—1-26%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals86%81%81%
1X – home team avoid defeat82%77%77%
12 – no draw80%77%77%
Over 2.5 goals66%59%59%
1 – RB Leipzig win62%55% · Elo 58%55%· Elo 58%
Both teams to score: yes62%59%59%
Under 3.5 goals56%63%63%
Over 3.5 goals44%37%37%
X2 – away team avoid defeat38%45%45%
Both teams to score: no38%41%41%
Under 2.5 goals34%41%41%
X – draw20%23% · Elo 24%23%· Elo 24%
2 – M'gladbach win18%23% · Elo 18%23%· Elo 18%
Under 1.5 goals14%19%19%
Attack vs defence
RB Leipzig attack vs M'gladbach defenceattack1563defence1495+68 pts to the attack
M'gladbach attack vs RB Leipzig defenceattack1459defence1544−85 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • M'gladbach matches average 5.4 cards (league 3.8) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • RB Leipzig matches average only 2.5 cards (league 3.8) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • RB Leipzig: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • M'gladbach matches average only 7.7 corners (league 9.8) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.

League form

RB Leipzig

No matches played this season yet.

M'gladbach

No matches played this season yet.

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5RB Leipzig530215:59
18M'gladbach50057:180
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of RB Leipzig vs M'gladbach?

RB Leipzig 3-0 M'gladbach (half time 1-0).

Did the RB Leipzig vs M'gladbach tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 3.5. The tip won.