AFC Champions League EliteMatchday 3
Al Ahli Saudi vs Al Gharafa: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 12d 12hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
1X2EloAl Ahli Saudi171685%83%Draw11%11%Al Gharafa13434%6%
Goalsattack/defenceno forecast
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Al Ahli Saudi4:0Al GharafaW
- Al Ahli Saudi4:2Al GharafaW
- Al Ahli Saudi1:1Al GharafaD
- Al Gharafa1:1Al Ahli SaudiD
- Al Gharafa2:2Al Ahli SaudiD
Al Ahli Saudi's record: 2 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses3.6 goals per match
Cornersleague cornerstoo few matches
Cardsleague cardstoo few matches
Refereeno referee data
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical model
Expected goals
Model3.2 : 0.7total 4.0
Al Ahli Saudi : Al GharafaMost likely scores
Model3-011%2-010%4-09%3-18%2-17%
Model3-03-011%2-02-010%4-04-09%3-13-18%2-12-17%
| Outcome | Model |
|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 96% |
| 12 – no draw | 89% |
| 1 – Al Ahli Saudi win | 85% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 15% |
| X – draw | 11% |
| 2 – Al Gharafa win | 4% |
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Al Gharafa concede 2.5 goals per game
- Al Gharafa: 4 defeats in a row
- Al Ahli Saudi: unbeaten in 9 matches
- Al Ahli Saudi: 14 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Al Gharafa: 14 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
Form in the competition
Al Ahli Saudi
Al Gharafa
League position
West
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Al Ahli Saudi | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 4 |
| 13 | Al Gharafa | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | 0 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Al Ahli Saudi vs Al Gharafa?
Al Ahli Saudi are the favourites. Chances: Al Ahli Saudi win 85%, draw 11%, Al Gharafa win 4%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in Al Ahli Saudi vs Al Gharafa?
Expected goals: 4.0 (Al Ahli Saudi 3.2, Al Gharafa 0.7). Most likely score: 3-0.
When is Al Ahli Saudi vs Al Gharafa?
The AFC Champions League Elite match kicks off 26 October 2026, 16:00 (UK time).