UEFA Nations LeagueMatchday 6
Belgium vs Italy: prediction, tips and stats
·
-:-Pre-match
The match in numbers
1X2Elo
Belgium44%Draw28%Italy28%Goalsattack/defence
no forecastH2Hhome side's goals first
—Cornersleague corners
—Cardsleague cards
—Referee
—Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removed
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 1.1total 2.6
Belgium : ItalyMost likely scores
Market1-113%1-010%2-19%0-09%2-08%
Market1-11-113%1-01-010%2-12-19%0-00-09%2-02-08%
| Outcome | Market |
|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 72% |
| 12 – no draw | 72% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 56% |
| 1 – Belgium win | 44% |
| X – draw | 28% |
| 2 – Italy win | 28% |
Form in the competition
League position
A1
| # | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Italy | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 7 |
| 3 | Belgium | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | 6 |
Frequently asked questions
Belgium are the favourites. Chances: Belgium win 44%, draw 28%, Italy win 28%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
Expected goals: 2.6 (Belgium 1.5, Italy 1.1). Most likely score: 1-1.
The UEFA Nations League match kicks off 15 November 2026, 19:45 (UK time).