UEFA Nations LeagueMatchday 5
Bulgaria vs Iceland: prediction, tips and stats
·
-:-Pre-match
The match in numbers
1X2Elo
Bulgaria22%Draw27%Iceland51%Goalsattack/defence
BTTS49%O2.545%H2Hhome side's goals first
—Cornersleague corners
—Cardsleague cards
—Referee
—Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removed
Expected goals
Market0.9 : 1.5total 2.4
Bulgaria : IcelandMost likely scores
Market1-113%0-112%0-210%0-09%1-29%
Market1-11-113%0-10-112%0-20-210%0-00-09%1-21-29%
| Outcome | Market |
|---|---|
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 78% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 76% |
| 12 – no draw | 73% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 55% |
| 2 – Iceland win | 51% |
| Both teams to score: no | 51% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 49% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 49% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 28% |
| X – draw | 27% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24% |
| 1 – Bulgaria win | 22% |
Form in the competition
League position
C4
| # | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Iceland | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:1 | 8 |
| 3 | Bulgaria | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | 4 |
Frequently asked questions
Iceland are the favourites. Chances: Bulgaria win 22%, draw 27%, Iceland win 51%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
Expected goals: 2.4 (Bulgaria 0.9, Iceland 1.5). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 45%. Most likely score: 1-1.
The chance that both teams score is 49%.
The UEFA Nations League match kicks off 13 November 2026, 19:45 (UK time).