UEFA Nations LeagueMatchday 5
England vs Croatia: prediction, tips and stats
·
-:-Pre-match
The match in numbers
1X2Elo
England78%Draw14%Croatia8%Goalsattack/defence
BTTS47%O2.564%H2Hhome side's goals first
—Cornersleague corners
—Cardsleague cards
—Referee
—Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removed
Expected goals
Market2.6 : 0.7total 3.3
England : CroatiaMost likely scores
Market2-012%3-011%1-09%2-19%3-18%
Market2-02-012%3-03-011%1-01-09%2-12-19%3-13-18%
| Outcome | Market |
|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 92% |
| 12 – no draw | 86% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85% |
| 1 – England win | 78% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 58% |
| Both teams to score: no | 53% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 47% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 42% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 36% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 22% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 15% |
| X – draw | 14% |
| 2 – Croatia win | 8% |
Form in the competition
League position
A3
| # | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | England | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14:3 | 9 |
| 3 | Croatia | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:14 | 3 |
Frequently asked questions
England are the favourites. Chances: England win 78%, draw 14%, Croatia win 8%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
Expected goals: 3.3 (England 2.6, Croatia 0.7). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 64%. Most likely score: 2-0.
The chance that both teams score is 47%.
The UEFA Nations League match kicks off 12 November 2026, 19:45 (UK time).