UEFA Nations LeagueMatchday 5
Norway vs Wales: prediction, tips and stats
·
-:-Pre-match
The match in numbers
1X2Elo
Norway79%Draw13%Wales8%Goalsattack/defence
BTTS49%O2.567%H2Hhome side's goals first
—Cornersleague corners
—Cardsleague cards
—Referee
—Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removed
Expected goals
Market2.7 : 0.7total 3.4
Norway : WalesMost likely scores
Market2-012%3-011%2-19%1-08%3-18%
Market2-02-012%3-03-011%2-12-19%1-01-08%3-13-18%
| Outcome | Market |
|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 92% |
| 12 – no draw | 87% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86% |
| 1 – Norway win | 79% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 55% |
| Both teams to score: no | 51% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 49% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 45% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 33% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 21% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 14% |
| X – draw | 13% |
| 2 – Wales win | 8% |
Form in the competition
League position
A4
| # | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wales | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | 3 |
| 4 | Norway | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:8 | 3 |
Frequently asked questions
Norway are the favourites. Chances: Norway win 79%, draw 13%, Wales win 8%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
Expected goals: 3.4 (Norway 2.7, Wales 0.7). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 67%. Most likely score: 2-0.
The chance that both teams score is 49%.
The UEFA Nations League match kicks off 14 November 2026, 17:00 (UK time).