UEFA Nations LeagueMatchday 5
Romania vs Poland: prediction, tips and stats
·
-:-Pre-match
The match in numbers
1X2Elo
Romania25%Draw26%Poland49%Goalsattack/defence
BTTS56%O2.553%H2Hhome side's goals first
—Cornersleague corners
—Cardsleague cards
—Referee
—Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removed
Expected goals
Market1.1 : 1.7total 2.8
Romania : PolandMost likely scores
Market1-112%1-210%0-19%0-28%0-07%
Market1-11-112%1-21-210%0-10-19%0-20-28%0-00-07%
| Outcome | Market |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 75% |
| 12 – no draw | 74% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 69% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 51% |
| 2 – Poland win | 49% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 47% |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% |
| X – draw | 26% |
| 1 – Romania win | 25% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 22% |
Form in the competition
League position
B4
| # | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Poland | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:4 | 4 |
| 4 | Romania | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:13 | 0 |
Frequently asked questions
Poland are the favourites. Chances: Romania win 25%, draw 26%, Poland win 49%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
Expected goals: 2.8 (Romania 1.1, Poland 1.7). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 53%. Most likely score: 1-1.
The chance that both teams score is 56%.
The UEFA Nations League match kicks off 14 November 2026, 19:45 (UK time).