Serie AMatchday 1

Atalanta 2-1 Sassuolo: prediction, tips and result

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2-1Full time(half time 1-0)
Stadium:
New Balance Arena, Bergamo
Referee:
Valerio Crezzini

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won57%

our numbers: 3.0 goals in total in this match, league average 2.4

For the brave
Total Goals: Over 3.5Lost34%

our numbers: 3.0 goals in total in this match, league average 2.4

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloAtalanta191264%56%Draw21%26%Sassuolo177715%18%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS53%54%O2.557%55%|exp. goals 1.9 : 1.0both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Sassuolo2:1AtalantaL
  2. Atalanta0:3SassuoloL
  3. Atalanta3:0SassuoloW
  4. Sassuolo0:2AtalantaW
  5. Sassuolo1:0AtalantaL
Atalanta's record: 2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.8league 8.8over 8.5: 51%Expected corners: 8.8 in this match, 8.8 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 8.5 corners.lost · ended 8
Cardsleague cards3.7league 3.8under 3.5: 51%Expected cards: 3.7 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 45% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 11%.won · ended 0
RefereeV. Crezzini−0.5 cards vs average10 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.1 : 0.9total 3.0Attack/defence1.9 : 1.0total 2.9
Atalanta : Sassuolo
Most likely scores
Market2-011%1-110%1-010%2-110%3-08%3-1—Attack/defence2-010%1-111%1-010%2-110%3-06%3-16%
MarketAttack/defence2-02-011%2-010%1-11-110%1-111%1-01-010%1-010%2-12-110%2-110%3-03-08%3-06%3-13-1—3-16%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat85%80%80%
Over 1.5 goals80%78%78%
12 – no draw79%77%77%
Under 3.5 goals66%67%67%
1 – Atalanta win64%57% · Elo 56%57%· Elo 56%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals57%55%55%
Both teams to score: yes53%54%54%
Both teams to score: no47%46%46%
Under 2.5 goals43%45%45%
X2 – away team avoid defeat36%43%43%
Over 3.5 goals34%33%33%
X – draw21%23% · Elo 26%23%· Elo 26%
Under 1.5 goals20%22%22%
2 – Sassuolo win15%20% · Elo 18%20%· Elo 18%
Attack vs defence
Atalanta attack vs Sassuolo defenceattack1599defence1439+160 pts to the attack
Sassuolo attack vs Atalanta defenceattack1442defence1535−93 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

League form

Atalanta

No matches played this season yet.

Sassuolo

No matches played this season yet.

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
10Atalanta63038:89
11Sassuolo622210:108
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Atalanta vs Sassuolo?

Atalanta 2-1 Sassuolo (half time 1-0).

Did the Atalanta vs Sassuolo tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.