Serie AMatchday 1

Bologna 0-1 Lazio: prediction, tips and result

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0-1Full time(half time 0-0)
Stadium:
Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna (attendance: 28,211)
Referee:
Fabio Maresca

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Over 3.5Won56%

referee Fabio Maresca averages 4.8 cards a match, league average 3.8

For the brave
Cards: Over 4.5Won37%

referee Fabio Maresca averages 4.8 cards a match, league average 3.8

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloBologna183942%39%Draw30%30%Lazio188928%31%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS49%52%O2.542%47%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.1not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Bologna0:2LazioL
  2. Lazio1:1BolognaD
  3. Bologna5:0LazioW
  4. Lazio3:0BolognaL
  5. Lazio1:2BolognaW
Bologna's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.7league 8.8under 8.5: 50%Expected corners: 8.7 in this match, 8.8 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 8.5 corners.lost · ended 14
Cardsleague cards4.0league 3.8over 3.5: 56%Expected cards: 4.0 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 23%.won · ended 8
RefereeF. Maresca+0.8 cards vs average13 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 1.0total 2.3Attack/defence1.4 : 1.1total 2.5
Bologna : Lazio
Most likely scores
Market1-114%1-011%0-010%0-19%2-19%2-0—Attack/defence1-113%1-011%0-08%0-19%2-19%2-08%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%1-01-011%1-011%0-00-010%0-08%0-10-19%0-19%2-12-19%2-19%2-02-0—2-08%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals79%75%75%
1X – home team avoid defeat72%70%70%
12 – no draw70%73%73%
Over 1.5 goals69%72%72%
X2 – away team avoid defeat58%57%57%
Under 2.5 goals58%53%53%
Both teams to score: no51%49%49%
Both teams to score: yes49%52%52%
1 – Bologna win42%43% · Elo 39%43%· Elo 39%
Over 2.5 goals42%47%47%
Under 1.5 goals31%28%28%
X – draw30%27% · Elo 30%27%· Elo 30%
2 – Lazio win28%30% · Elo 31%30%· Elo 31%
Over 3.5 goals21%25%25%
Attack vs defence
Bologna attack vs Lazio defenceattack1527defence1522+5 pts to the attack
Lazio attack vs Bologna defenceattack1495defence1529−34 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

League form

Bologna

No matches played this season yet.

Lazio

No matches played this season yet.

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Lazio651011:416
14Bologna61235:75
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Bologna vs Lazio?

Bologna 0-1 Lazio (half time 0-0).

Did the Bologna vs Lazio tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Over 3.5. The tip won.