Serie AMatchday 3

Inter 3-2 Napoli: prediction, tips and result

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3-2Full time(half time 0-0)
Stadium:
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milan
Referee:
Simone Sozza

The match in numbers

1X2EloInter206259%53%Draw24%27%Napoli193617%20%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS51%55%O2.552%55%|exp. goals 1.8 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Inter2:2NapoliD
  2. Napoli3:1InterL
  3. Napoli1:1InterD
  4. Inter1:1NapoliD
  5. Inter1:1NapoliD
Inter's record: 0 wins, 4 draws, 1 loss2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.8league 8.8over 8.5: 51%Expected corners: 8.8 in this match, 8.8 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end over 8.5 corners.won · ended 15
Cardsleague cards3.5league 3.8under 3.5: 54%Expected cards: 3.5 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 45% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 23%.won · ended 3
RefereeS. Sozza−0.3 cards vs average20 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.9 : 0.9total 2.8Attack/defence1.8 : 1.1total 2.9
Inter : Napoli
Most likely scores
Market1-111%1-011%2-011%2-110%0-07%1-2—Attack/defence1-111%1-010%2-09%2-110%0-06%1-26%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-111%1-01-011%1-010%2-02-011%2-09%2-12-110%2-110%0-00-07%0-06%1-21-2—1-26%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat83%77%77%
Over 1.5 goals77%78%78%
12 – no draw76%76%76%
Under 3.5 goals70%68%68%
1 – Inter win59%53% · Elo 53%53%· Elo 53%
Over 2.5 goals52%55%55%
Both teams to score: yes51%55%55%
Both teams to score: no49%45%45%
Under 2.5 goals48%45%45%
X2 – away team avoid defeat41%47%47%
Over 3.5 goals30%32%32%
X – draw24%24% · Elo 27%24%· Elo 27%
Under 1.5 goals23%22%22%
2 – Napoli win17%23% · Elo 20%23%· Elo 20%
Attack vs defence
Inter attack vs Napoli defenceattack1720defence1592+128 pts to the attack
Napoli attack vs Inter defenceattack1555defence1612−57 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Inter score 2.8 goals per game
  • Napoli matches average only 2.5 cards (league 3.8) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Inter: unbeaten in 12 matches
  • Inter: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Napoli: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Inter651018:816
8Napoli631210:610
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Inter vs Napoli?

Inter 3-2 Napoli (half time 0-0).