Serie AMatchday 2

Lecce 0-4 Roma: prediction, tips and result

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0-4Full time(half time 0-3)
Stadium:
Stadio Ettore Giardiniero - Via del Mare, Lecce
Referee:
Daniele Chiffi

Our tips

Main tip
Match Result: RomaWon67%

Roma: won 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

Other tips

  • Cards: Under 3.5Won55%

    referee Daniele Chiffi averages 3.1 cards a match, league average 3.8; our numbers: 3.5 cards against a league average of 3.8

For the brave
Correct Score: 0:2Lost13%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloLecce169313%16%Draw21%24%Roma199967%61%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS45%48%O2.550%45%|exp. goals 0.9 : 1.6not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Roma1:0LecceL
  2. Lecce0:2RomaL
  3. Lecce0:1RomaL
  4. Roma4:1LecceL
  5. Lecce0:0RomaD
Lecce's record: 0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses1.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.0league 8.8over 8.5: 54%Expected corners: 9.0 in this match, 8.8 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 8.5 corners.lost · ended 3
Cardsleague cards3.5league 3.8under 3.5: 55%Expected cards: 3.5 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 45% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 18%.won · ended 2
RefereeD. Chiffi−0.9 cards vs average18 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market0.7 : 2.0total 2.7Attack/defence0.9 : 1.6total 2.5
Lecce : Roma
Most likely scores
Market0-213%0-113%1-110%1-29%0-39%0-0—1-0—Attack/defence0-210%0-113%1-112%1-29%0-3—0-09%1-07%
MarketAttack/defence0-20-213%0-210%0-10-113%0-113%1-11-110%1-112%1-21-29%1-29%0-30-39%0-3—0-00-0—0-09%1-01-0—1-07%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
X2 – away team avoid defeat88%78%78%
12 – no draw80%74%74%
Over 1.5 goals76%71%71%
Under 3.5 goals72%76%76%
Our tip: 2 – Roma win67%52% · Elo 61%52%· Elo 61%
Both teams to score: no55%52%52%
Over 2.5 goals50%45%45%
Under 2.5 goals50%55%55%
Both teams to score: yes45%48%48%
1X – home team avoid defeat34%48%48%
Over 3.5 goals28%24%24%
Under 1.5 goals24%29%29%
X – draw21%26% · Elo 24%26%· Elo 24%
1 – Lecce win13%22% · Elo 16%22%· Elo 16%
Attack vs defence
Lecce attack vs Roma defenceattack1359defence1594−235 pts to the attack
Roma attack vs Lecce defenceattack1613defence1469+144 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Roma score 2.4 goals per game
  • Roma: 6 wins in a row
  • Roma: 25 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 19 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Lecce: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Roma: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Roma642014:314
13Lecce62046:126
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Lecce vs Roma?

Lecce 0-4 Roma (half time 0-3).

Did the Lecce vs Roma tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Match Result: Roma. The tip won.