Serie AMatchday 3

Parma 1-1 Monza: prediction, tips and result

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1-1Full time(half time 0-1)
Stadium:
Ennio Tardini, Parma
Referee:
Federico La Penna

The match in numbers

1X2EloParma172033%43%Draw33%29%Monza168334%28%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS45%51%O2.538%46%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 2 meetings
  1. Monza1:1ParmaD
  2. Parma2:1MonzaW
Parma's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 0 losses2.5 goals per match
too few to read anything into
Cornersleague cornerstoo few matches
Cardsleague cardstoo few matches
RefereeF. La Penna−0.1 cards vs average18 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.1 : 1.1total 2.2Attack/defence1.4 : 1.1total 2.5
Parma : Monza
Most likely scores
Market1-114%0-012%1-011%0-111%2-1—2-0—1-27%Attack/defence1-113%0-09%1-011%0-18%2-19%2-08%1-2—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%0-00-012%0-09%1-01-011%1-011%0-10-111%0-18%2-12-1—2-19%2-02-0—2-08%1-21-27%1-2—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals82%76%76%
X2 – away team avoid defeat67%55%55%
12 – no draw67%73%73%
1X – home team avoid defeat66%72%72%
Over 1.5 goals65%71%71%
Under 2.5 goals62%54%54%
Both teams to score: no55%50%50%
Both teams to score: yes45%51%51%
Over 2.5 goals38%46%46%
Under 1.5 goals35%29%29%
2 – Monza win34%28% · Elo 28%28%· Elo 28%
1 – Parma win33%45% · Elo 43%45%· Elo 43%
X – draw33%27% · Elo 29%27%· Elo 29%
Over 3.5 goals18%24%24%
Attack vs defence
Parma attack vs Monza defenceattack1397defence1403−6 pts to the attack
Monza attack vs Parma defenceattack1385defence1455−70 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Parma: only 1 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Parma score only 0.7 goals per game
  • Monza: newly promoted
  • Parma: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Monza: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
16Monza61149:154
18Parma61144:104
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Parma vs Monza?

Parma 1-1 Monza (half time 0-1).