Serie AMatchday 1

Torino 1-2 Milan: prediction, tips and result

·

1-2Full time(half time 0-0)
Stadium:
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino, Turin
Referee:
Luca Zufferli

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 3.5Won55%

referee Luca Zufferli averages 3.1 cards a match, league average 3.8; our numbers: 3.5 cards against a league average of 3.8

For the brave
Cards: Under 2.5Won34%

referee Luca Zufferli averages 3.1 cards a match, league average 3.8; our numbers: 3.5 cards against a league average of 3.8

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloTorino176021%25%Draw28%29%Milan190151%47%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS46%56%O2.543%52%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.5both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Milan3:2TorinoL
  2. Torino2:3MilanL
  3. Torino2:1MilanW
  4. Milan2:2TorinoD
  5. Torino3:1MilanW
Torino's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses4.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.5league 8.8under 8.5: 52%Expected corners: 8.5 in this match, 8.8 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 8.5 corners.won · ended 6
Cardsleague cards3.5league 3.8under 3.5: 55%Expected cards: 3.5 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 45% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 14%.won · ended 1
RefereeL. Zufferli−0.9 cards vs average17 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market0.9 : 1.5total 2.4Attack/defence1.3 : 1.5total 2.8
Torino : Milan
Most likely scores
Market1-113%0-113%0-211%0-010%1-29%1-0—2-1—Attack/defence1-112%0-19%0-27%0-0—1-29%1-08%2-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-112%0-10-113%0-19%0-20-211%0-27%0-00-010%0-0—1-21-29%1-29%1-01-0—1-08%2-12-1—2-18%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
X2 – away team avoid defeat79%67%67%
Under 3.5 goals78%70%70%
12 – no draw72%74%74%
Over 1.5 goals70%76%76%
Under 2.5 goals57%48%48%
Both teams to score: no54%44%44%
2 – Milan win51%41% · Elo 47%41%· Elo 47%
1X – home team avoid defeat49%59%59%
Both teams to score: yes46%56%56%
Over 2.5 goals43%52%52%
Under 1.5 goals30%24%24%
X – draw28%26% · Elo 29%26%· Elo 29%
Over 3.5 goals22%30%30%
1 – Torino win21%33% · Elo 25%33%· Elo 25%
Attack vs defence
Torino attack vs Milan defenceattack1481defence1525−44 pts to the attack
Milan attack vs Torino defenceattack1562defence1454+108 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Milan: only 10 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 19 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.

League form

Torino

No matches played this season yet.

Milan

No matches played this season yet.

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5Milan633011:512
12Torino62137:97
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Torino vs Milan?

Torino 1-2 Milan (half time 0-0).

Did the Torino vs Milan tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 3.5. The tip won.