J1 LeagueMatchday 3

FC Tokyo 2-0 Chiba: prediction, tips and result

·

2-0Full time(half time 0-0)
Stadium:
MUFG Stadium, Tokyo (attendance: 52,200)
Referee:
Masuya Ueda

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Lost58%

over 2.5 goals in 5 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

Other tips

  • Cards: Under 2.5Won60%

    our numbers: 2.3 cards against a league average of 2.6

For the brave
Correct Score: 2:1Lost10%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloFC Tokyo170764%55%Draw21%25%Chiba150415%20%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS54%54%O2.558%54%|exp. goals 1.8 : 1.1not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. FC Tokyo0:3ChibaL
  2. Chiba1:2FC TokyoW
  3. Chiba2:1FC TokyoL
  4. FC Tokyo1:2ChibaL
  5. Chiba4:2FC TokyoL
FC Tokyo's record: 1 win, 0 draws, 4 losses3.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.3league 9.5under 9.5: 55%Expected corners: 9.3 in this match, 9.5 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 6
Cardsleague cards2.3league 2.6under 2.5: 60%Expected cards: 2.3 in this match, 2.6 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 2.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.won · ended 1
RefereeM. Ueda−0.4 cards vs average15 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.1 : 0.9total 3.0Attack/defence1.8 : 1.1total 2.8
FC Tokyo : Chiba
Most likely scores
Market1-110%2-011%1-09%2-110%3-08%0-0—0-1—Attack/defence1-111%2-09%1-010%2-110%3-0—0-06%0-16%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-111%2-02-011%2-09%1-01-09%1-010%2-12-110%2-110%3-03-08%3-0—0-00-0—0-06%0-10-1—0-16%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat85%78%78%
Over 1.5 goals81%77%77%
12 – no draw79%76%76%
1 – FC Tokyo win64%54% · Elo 55%54%· Elo 55%
Under 3.5 goals64%69%69%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals58%54%54%
Both teams to score: yes54%54%54%
Both teams to score: no46%46%46%
Under 2.5 goals42%47%47%
X2 – away team avoid defeat36%46%46%
Over 3.5 goals36%31%31%
X – draw21%24% · Elo 25%24%· Elo 25%
Under 1.5 goals19%23%23%
2 – Chiba win15%22% · Elo 20%22%· Elo 20%
Attack vs defence
FC Tokyo attack vs Chiba defenceattack1528defence1392+136 pts to the attack
Chiba attack vs FC Tokyo defenceattack1430defence1504−74 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Chiba concede 2.4 goals per game
  • Chiba: no win in 7 matches
  • FC Tokyo: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Chiba: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4FC Tokyo962117:820
19Chiba91268:195
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of FC Tokyo vs Chiba?

FC Tokyo 2-0 Chiba (half time 0-0).

Did the FC Tokyo vs Chiba tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip lost.