J1 LeagueMatchday 2

Mito 1-1 Gamba Osaka: prediction, tips and result

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1-1Full time(half time 1-0)
Stadium:
Mito Shinkin Bank Stadium, Mito
Referee:
Jumpei Iida

The match in numbers

1X2EloMito153436%24%Draw30%27%Gamba Osaka164035%50%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS50%57%O2.544%54%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.5both scored
H2Hhome side's goals firstnever met
Cornersleague corners9.3league 9.5under 9.5: 55%Expected corners: 9.3 in this match, 9.5 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 18
Cardsleague cards2.6league 2.6under 2.5: 51%Expected cards: 2.6 in this match, 2.6 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 2.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 19%.won · ended 1
RefereeJ. Iida+0.9 cards vs average3 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.2 : 1.2total 2.4Attack/defence1.3 : 1.5total 2.8
Mito : Gamba Osaka
Most likely scores
Market1-114%0-010%1-010%0-110%1-2—2-18%0-2—Attack/defence1-112%0-0—1-07%0-19%1-29%2-18%0-27%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-112%0-00-010%0-0—1-01-010%1-07%0-10-110%0-19%1-21-2—1-29%2-12-18%2-18%0-20-2—0-27%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals77%69%69%
12 – no draw71%74%74%
Over 1.5 goals71%77%77%
1X – home team avoid defeat66%57%57%
X2 – away team avoid defeat65%69%69%
Under 2.5 goals56%46%46%
Both teams to score: yes50%57%57%
Both teams to score: no50%43%43%
Over 2.5 goals44%54%54%
1 – Mito win36%31% · Elo 24%31%· Elo 24%
2 – Gamba Osaka win35%43% · Elo 50%43%· Elo 50%
X – draw30%26% · Elo 27%26%· Elo 27%
Under 1.5 goals29%23%23%
Over 3.5 goals23%31%31%
Attack vs defence
Mito attack vs Gamba Osaka defenceattack1435defence1473−38 pts to the attack
Gamba Osaka attack vs Mito defenceattack1559defence1418+141 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Mito concede 2.3 goals per game
  • Mito: 7 defeats in a row
  • Mito: only 2 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 12 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Mito: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Gamba Osaka: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
13Mito923412:139
18Gamba Osaka91358:166
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Mito vs Gamba Osaka?

Mito 1-1 Gamba Osaka (half time 1-0).