J1 LeagueMatchday 2

Okayama 1-0 V-Varen Nagasaki: prediction, tips and result

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1-0Full time(half time 0-0)
Stadium:
City Light Stadium, Okayama
Referee:
Masuya Ueda

The match in numbers

1X2EloOkayama161856%44%Draw26%28%V-Varen Nagasaki155419%28%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS48%50%O2.546%45%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.1not both scored
H2Hlast 2 meetings
  1. V-Varen Nagasaki2:1OkayamaL
  2. Okayama0:1V-Varen NagasakiL
Okayama's record: 0 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses2.0 goals per match
too few to read anything into
Cornersleague corners9.6league 9.5under 9.5: 51%Expected corners: 9.6 in this match, 9.5 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 6
Cardsleague cards2.4league 2.6under 2.5: 58%Expected cards: 2.4 in this match, 2.6 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 2.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.won · ended 1
RefereeM. Ueda−0.3 cards vs average14 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.7 : 0.9total 2.6Attack/defence1.4 : 1.1total 2.5
Okayama : V-Varen Nagasaki
Most likely scores
Market1-112%1-012%2-011%2-110%0-09%0-1—Attack/defence1-113%1-012%2-09%2-19%0-09%0-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-113%1-01-012%1-012%2-02-011%2-09%2-12-110%2-19%0-00-09%0-09%0-10-1—0-18%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat82%73%73%
12 – no draw75%73%73%
Under 3.5 goals75%76%76%
Over 1.5 goals73%71%71%
1 – Okayama win56%45% · Elo 44%45%· Elo 44%
Under 2.5 goals54%55%55%
Both teams to score: no52%50%50%
Both teams to score: yes48%50%50%
Over 2.5 goals46%45%45%
X2 – away team avoid defeat45%55%55%
Under 1.5 goals27%29%29%
X – draw26%27% · Elo 28%27%· Elo 28%
Over 3.5 goals25%24%24%
2 – V-Varen Nagasaki win19%27% · Elo 28%27%· Elo 28%
Attack vs defence
Okayama attack vs V-Varen Nagasaki defenceattack1463defence1439+24 pts to the attack
V-Varen Nagasaki attack vs Okayama defenceattack1445defence1513−68 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • V-Varen Nagasaki: 17 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 11 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Okayama: 17 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 12 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Okayama: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • V-Varen Nagasaki: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
9Okayama941412:1213
14V-Varen Nagasaki923411:169
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Okayama vs V-Varen Nagasaki?

Okayama 1-0 V-Varen Nagasaki (half time 0-0).