Eerste DivisieMatchday 1

Helmond 1-1 Graafschap: prediction, tips and result

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1-1Full time(half time 1-1)
Stadium:
SolarUnie Stadion, Helmond
Referee:
Wouter Wiersma

The match in numbers

1X2EloHelmond119129%25%Draw26%24%Graafschap131544%51%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS63%60%O2.561%57%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.6both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Helmond0:0GraafschapD
  2. Graafschap3:1HelmondL
  3. Helmond1:4GraafschapL
  4. Graafschap2:3HelmondW
  5. Helmond3:1GraafschapW
Helmond's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses3.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.4league 10.7under 10.5: 53%Expected corners: 10.4 in this match, 10.7 on average in the league.In this league 48% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 10
Cardsleague cards3.9league 3.3over 3.5: 53%Expected cards: 3.9 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.In this league 43% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 9%.won · ended 4
RefereeW. Wiersma+1.5 cards vs average19 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 1.7total 3.1Attack/defence1.4 : 1.6total 3.0
Helmond : Graafschap
Most likely scores
Market1-111%1-29%2-17%0-17%0-27%1-0—Attack/defence1-112%1-29%2-18%0-18%0-26%1-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%1-21-29%1-29%2-12-17%2-18%0-10-17%0-18%0-20-27%0-26%1-01-0—1-07%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals83%80%80%
12 – no draw73%75%75%
X2 – away team avoid defeat70%66%66%
Both teams to score: yes63%60%60%
Under 3.5 goals62%65%65%
Over 2.5 goals61%57%57%
1X – home team avoid defeat55%59%59%
2 – Graafschap win44%41% · Elo 51%41%· Elo 51%
Under 2.5 goals39%43%43%
Over 3.5 goals38%35%35%
Both teams to score: no37%40%40%
1 – Helmond win29%34% · Elo 25%34%· Elo 25%
X – draw26%25% · Elo 24%25%· Elo 24%
Under 1.5 goals17%20%20%
Attack vs defence
Helmond attack vs Graafschap defenceattack1401defence1509−108 pts to the attack
Graafschap attack vs Helmond defenceattack1584defence1511+73 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Helmond: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Graafschap: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Helmond score only 0.7 goals per game

League form

Helmond

No matches played this season yet.

Graafschap

No matches played this season yet.

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
16Graafschap1032513:2311
17Helmond1023516:199
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Helmond vs Graafschap?

Helmond 1-1 Graafschap (half time 1-1).