Eerste DivisieMatchday 3

Utrecht 1-6 Heracles: prediction, tips and result

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1-6Full time(half time 0-5)
Stadium:
Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch, Utrecht
Referee:
Martin Perez

The match in numbers

1X2EloUtrecht117317%20%Draw20%22%Heracles145662%58%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS58%62%O2.562%60%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.8both scored
H2Hlast 2 meetings
  1. Heracles6:1UtrechtL
  2. Utrecht0:3HeraclesL
Utrecht's record: 0 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses5.0 goals per match
too few to read anything into
Cornersleague cornerstoo few matches
Cardsleague cardstoo few matches
RefereeM. Perez−1.1 cards vs average18 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.1 : 2.2total 3.3Attack/defence1.3 : 1.8total 3.1
Utrecht : Heracles
Most likely scores
Market1-110%1-210%0-29%0-18%1-37%2-1—2-2—Attack/defence1-111%1-29%0-27%0-18%1-3—2-17%2-26%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-111%1-21-210%1-29%0-20-29%0-27%0-10-18%0-18%1-31-37%1-3—2-12-1—2-17%2-22-2—2-26%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals84%82%82%
X2 – away team avoid defeat82%72%72%
12 – no draw79%76%76%
2 – Heracles win62%48% · Elo 58%48%· Elo 58%
Over 2.5 goals62%60%60%
Under 3.5 goals60%62%62%
Both teams to score: yes58%62%62%
Both teams to score: no42%39%39%
Over 3.5 goals40%38%38%
Under 2.5 goals38%40%40%
1X – home team avoid defeat37%52%52%
X – draw20%24% · Elo 22%24%· Elo 22%
1 – Utrecht win17%28% · Elo 20%28%· Elo 20%
Under 1.5 goals16%18%18%
Attack vs defence
Utrecht attack vs Heracles defenceattack1431defence1573−142 pts to the attack
Heracles attack vs Utrecht defenceattack1613defence1471+142 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Heracles: newly promoted
  • Utrecht: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Heracles: 10 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Heracles1081131:1225
20Utrecht1021716:237
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Utrecht vs Heracles?

Utrecht 1-6 Heracles (half time 0-5).