Eerste DivisieMatchday 3

Vitesse 0-3 Almere City: prediction, tips and result

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0-3Full time(half time 0-0)
Stadium:
Gelredome, Arnhem
Referee:
Erwin Blank

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 3.5Lost66%

referee Erwin Blank averages 2.9 cards a match, league average 3.3

For the brave
Cards: Under 2.5Lost44%

referee Erwin Blank averages 2.9 cards a match, league average 3.3

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloVitesse133243%38%Draw25%26%Almere City142633%36%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS69%64%O2.568%62%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.5not both scored
H2Hlast 4 meetings
  1. Vitesse1:3Almere CityL
  2. Almere City2:2VitesseD
  3. Vitesse1:1Almere CityD
  4. Almere City5:0VitesseL
Vitesse's record: 0 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses3.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.3league 10.7under 10.5: 55%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 10.7 on average in the league.In this league 48% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 10
Cardsleague cards3.0league 3.3under 3.5: 66%Expected cards: 3.0 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 7%.lost · ended 4
RefereeE. Blank−0.6 cards vs average30 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.9 : 1.6total 3.5Attack/defence1.7 : 1.5total 3.2
Vitesse : Almere City
Most likely scores
Market1-110%2-19%1-28%2-27%1-0—2-0—3-15%Attack/defence1-111%2-19%1-28%2-27%1-07%2-06%3-1—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-111%2-12-19%2-19%1-21-28%1-28%2-22-27%2-27%1-01-0—1-07%2-02-0—2-06%3-13-15%3-1—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals87%83%83%
12 – no draw76%76%76%
Both teams to score: yes69%64%64%
Over 2.5 goals68%62%62%
1X – home team avoid defeat68%66%66%
X2 – away team avoid defeat58%57%57%
Under 3.5 goals54%60%60%
Over 3.5 goals46%40%40%
1 – Vitesse win43%43% · Elo 38%43%· Elo 38%
2 – Almere City win33%34% · Elo 36%34%· Elo 36%
Under 2.5 goals32%38%38%
Both teams to score: no31%36%36%
X – draw25%24% · Elo 26%24%· Elo 26%
Under 1.5 goals13%17%17%
Attack vs defence
Vitesse attack vs Almere City defenceattack1519defence1524−5 pts to the attack
Almere City attack vs Vitesse defenceattack1583defence1537+46 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Almere City: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Vitesse: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Almere City: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Almere City1071222:722
10Vitesse1042415:1514
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Vitesse vs Almere City?

Vitesse 0-3 Almere City (half time 0-0).

Did the Vitesse vs Almere City tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 3.5. The tip lost.