EredivisieMatchday 2

Excelsior 1-2 PSV Eindhoven: prediction, tips and result

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1-2Full time(half time 0-1)
Stadium:
Stadion Woudestein, Rotterdam
Referee:
Marc Nagtegaal

Our tips

Main tip
Match Result: PSV EindhovenWon68%

PSV Eindhoven: won 5 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

Other tips

  • Total Goals: Over 2.5Won73%

    our numbers: 3.8 goals in total in this match, league average 3.1

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:2Won9%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloExcelsior151814%9%Draw17%16%PSV Eindhoven196168%75%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS65%63%O2.573%63%|exp. goals 1.3 : 2.0both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. PSV Eindhoven5:1ExcelsiorL
  2. Excelsior1:2PSV EindhovenL
  3. Excelsior0:2PSV EindhovenL
  4. PSV Eindhoven3:1ExcelsiorL
  5. PSV Eindhoven4:0ExcelsiorL
Excelsior's record: 0 wins, 0 draws, 5 losses3.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.4league 10.4under 10.5: 53%Expected corners: 10.4 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 8
Cardsleague cards3.0league 3.3under 3.5: 64%Expected cards: 3.0 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.In this league 61% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.won · ended 1
RefereeM. Nagtegaal−0.2 cards vs average35 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.2 : 2.6total 3.8Attack/defence1.3 : 2.0total 3.3
Excelsior : PSV Eindhoven
Most likely scores
Market1-17%1-29%1-38%0-28%0-1—0-37%2-1—Attack/defence1-110%1-210%1-36%0-28%0-17%0-3—2-16%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-17%1-110%1-21-29%1-210%1-31-38%1-36%0-20-28%0-28%0-10-1—0-17%0-30-37%0-3—2-12-1—2-16%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals90%84%84%
X2 – away team avoid defeat85%75%75%
12 – no draw82%78%78%
Over 2.5 goals73%63%63%
Our tip: 2 – PSV Eindhoven win68%53% · Elo 75%53%· Elo 75%
Both teams to score: yes65%63%63%
Over 3.5 goals53%41%41%
Under 3.5 goals47%59%59%
Both teams to score: no35%38%38%
1X – home team avoid defeat31%47%47%
Under 2.5 goals27%37%37%
X – draw17%23% · Elo 16%23%· Elo 16%
1 – Excelsior win14%25% · Elo 9%25%· Elo 9%
Under 1.5 goals10%16%16%
Attack vs defence
Excelsior attack vs PSV Eindhoven defenceattack1459defence1587−128 pts to the attack
PSV Eindhoven attack vs Excelsior defenceattack1701defence1468+233 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • PSV Eindhoven score 3.0 goals per game
  • PSV Eindhoven: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Excelsior: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • PSV Eindhoven: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2PSV Eindhoven861126:1019
9Excelsior832316:1411
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Excelsior vs PSV Eindhoven?

Excelsior 1-2 PSV Eindhoven (half time 0-1).

Did the Excelsior vs PSV Eindhoven tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Match Result: PSV Eindhoven. The tip won.